1. Deportivo Pereira vs Boyacá Chicó

Deportivo Pereira vs Boyacá Chicó Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Liga BetPlay - Season 2026 (Round 15)

Bore draw alert

Fewer goals than usual expected in Deportivo Pereira vs Boyacá Chicó

2.2goals expected · Liga BetPlay average 2.5

Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.

Bookmakers: under 2.5 goals 57%

Deportivo Pereira vs Boyacá Chicó score prediction

Liga BetPlay

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Bore draw alertJust 2.2 goals expected

2.2 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the Liga BetPlay average is 2.5).

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.

Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.

Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Deportivo Pereira vs Boyacá Chicó: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Deportivo Pereira vs Boyacá Chicó — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga BetPlay

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Pereira to win

Our model 61%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Our model 51%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 73%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 44%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Deportivo Pereira Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Pereira 2+ goals

Our model 53%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Boyacá Chicó Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Boyacá Chicó 0–1 goals

Our model 82%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Deportivo Pereira vs Boyacá Chicó — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Deportivo Pereira vs Boyacá Chicó. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira–
Boyacá ChicóBoyacá Chicó–

Winner

1 61%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

161%
X23%
217%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%51%49%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%83%17%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Deportivo Pereira18%82%47%53%
Boyacá Chicó50%50%82%18%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Deportivo Pereira73%27%89%12%
Boyacá Chicó96%4%99%1%

1st Half

140%
X44%
215%

1st Score

161%
X8%
231%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

37%

X-1

18%

X-X

16%

X-2

9%

2-2

9%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

12.7%

2-0

11.2%

1-1

10.6%

2-1

10.1%

0-0

8.1%

3-0

6.8%

0-1

5.9%

3-1

5.5%

1-2

4.4%

2-2

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Deportivo Pereira vs Boyacá Chicó: the stats that stand out

Liga BetPlay

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Deportivo Pereira: slow starters

Slow starters
Deportivo Pereira2/10

Deportivo Pereira scored first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 46%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Deportivo Pereira vs Boyacá Chicó: attack vs defence

Liga BetPlay

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Liga BetPlay teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira: weak attack, weak defence (0.79 xG, 1.47 xGA a game)
  • Boyacá ChicóBoyacá Chicó: weak attack, weak defence (0.82 xG, 1.34 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Deportivo Pereira vs Boyacá Chicó form and luck check

Liga BetPlay

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Liga BetPlay games

Both results in line with their chances

  • Deportivo Pereira
    Deportivo PereiraBookmakers: 41% to win today.
    +1.6
  • Boyacá Chicó
    Boyacá ChicóBookmakers: 29% to win today.Clinical · +4 goals
    +3.3

Last 5 matches

Boyacá ChicóBoyacá Chicó
L
L
D
W
L
15th in table
Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira
D
D
L
L
D
18th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Deportivo Pereira 20th of 20 · Boyacá Chicó 19th of 20

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Deportivo Pereira vs Boyacá Chicó: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Liga BetPlay

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Liga BetPlay gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Boyacá Chicó games less often than the Liga BetPlay average (53%), in Deportivo Pereira games more often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 48%
Deportivo Pereira6 of 10
Boyacá Chicó6 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Deportivo Pereira6 of 10
Boyacá Chicó4 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 409 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Deportivo Pereira vs Boyacá Chicó corners, cards and goal times

Liga BetPlay

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Goal times close to the Liga BetPlay average

Deportivo Pereira

Boyacá Chicó

3.4

Corners won · league 4.5

4.5

4.8

Corners conceded · league 4.5

5.6

3.3

Cards · league 2.9

2.4

3.2

Opponents' cards · league 2.9

1.8

50%

Goals before half-time · league 46%

55%

13%

Goals after 75' · league 22%

18%

53%

Conceded before half-time · league 46%

38%

12%

Conceded after 75' · league 22%

31%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira
2/5
Boyacá ChicóBoyacá Chicó
3/5

Both Teams to Score

Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira
3/5
Boyacá ChicóBoyacá Chicó
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira
2/5
Boyacá ChicóBoyacá Chicó
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira
4/5
Boyacá ChicóBoyacá Chicó
4/5

First Half Result

Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira
4/5
Boyacá ChicóBoyacá Chicó
3/5

Correct Score

Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira
0/5
Boyacá ChicóBoyacá Chicó
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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