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Necaxa vs Atlas

Necaxa vs Atlas 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)

Fair result

Necaxa

0–2

Atlas

1.6Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Necaxa would usually take 1.4 points and Atlas 1.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Atlas.

Necaxa −1.4 pts vs chancesAtlas +1.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Necaxa vs Atlas stats: how the match was played

Liga MX

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Atlas had clearly more shots on target

Necaxa

Atlas

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

48%

Possession

52%

The match between Necaxa and Atlas ended 0-2. Our AI model predicted a Necaxa win at 38% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Necaxa – Juárez prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Necaxa vs Atlas — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga MX

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Necaxa to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Atlas to win.

Our model 38%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 1,525 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 64%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,450 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 60%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 3,079 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,379 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 47%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Necaxa Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Necaxa 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,465 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Atlas Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlas 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 58%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Necaxa vs Atlas 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Necaxa vs Atlas. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga MX - Mexico

Necaxa0

Atlas2

Winner

12 75%

BTTS*

Yes 64%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

· FT

Liga MX - Mexico

Necaxa0

Atlas2

Winner

12 75%

BTTS*

Yes 64%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

138%

X25%

237%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	19%	81%	40%	60%	51%	49%	76%	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	19%	81%	40%	60%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	51%	49%	76%	24%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	26%	74%	56%	44%	80%	20%	92%	8%
	28%	72%	58%	42%	80%	20%	92%	8%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	26%	74%	56%	44%
	28%	72%	58%	42%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	80%	20%	92%	8%
	80%	20%	92%	8%

1st Half

129%

X47%

224%

1st Score

151%

X5%

244%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

X-X

16%

X-1

15%

2-2

15%

X-2

13%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.1%

2-1

8.4%

1-2

8.1%

1-0

7.1%

0-1

6.6%

2-2

6.4%

2-0

5.3%

0-0

4.9%

0-2

4.7%

1-3

4.1%

3-1

4.1%

2-3

3.5%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Necaxa vs Atlas — Recent Form

Atlas have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Necaxa have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Atlas

Necaxa

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Atlas

1/5

Necaxa

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Atlas

4/5

Necaxa

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Atlas

2/5

Necaxa

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Atlas

3/5

Necaxa

2/5

First Half Result

Atlas

2/5

Necaxa

2/5

Correct Score

Atlas

1/5

Necaxa

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Necaxa – Juárez prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).