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Tijuana vs Puebla

Tijuana vs Puebla 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)

Robbed

Tijuana drew despite more chances

Tijuana

0–0

Puebla

1.9Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Tijuana would usually take 2.2 points and Puebla 0.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Tijuana.

Tijuana −1.2 pts vs chancesPuebla +0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Tijuana vs Puebla stats: how the match was played

Liga MX

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Tijuana had more than twice the shots on target

Tijuana

Puebla

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

58%

Possession

42%

The match between Tijuana and Puebla ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Tijuana win at 51% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Atlas – Puebla prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Tijuana vs Puebla — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga MX

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Tijuana to win

Wrong

Our model 51%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,472 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.8% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,460 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 71%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 4,554 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Tijuana ahead at half-time.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,220 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Tijuana Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Tijuana 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Tijuana 2+ goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,856 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Puebla Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Puebla 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 73%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,358 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Tijuana vs Puebla 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Tijuana vs Puebla. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga MX - Mexico

Tijuana0

Puebla0

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

· FT

Liga MX - Mexico

Tijuana0

Puebla0

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

151%

X25%

224%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	25%	75%	49%	51%	61%	39%	83%	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	25%	75%	49%	51%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	61%	39%	83%	17%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	21%	79%	52%	48%	77%	23%	91%	9%
	41%	59%	73%	27%	90%	10%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	21%	79%	52%	48%
	41%	59%	73%	27%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	77%	23%	91%	9%
	90%	10%	97%	3%

1st Half

135%

X43%

222%

1st Score

153%

X7%

239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

X-1

17%

X-X

15%

2-2

13%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-0

11.3%

1-1

11.2%

2-1

9.5%

2-0

8.8%

0-0

7.3%

0-1

6.5%

1-2

6.2%

2-2

5.1%

3-0

5.0%

3-1

4.8%

0-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Tijuana vs Puebla — Recent Form

Tijuana have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table. Puebla have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Tijuana

Puebla

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Puebla

2/5

Tijuana

0/5

Both Teams to Score

Puebla

4/5

Tijuana

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Puebla

1/5

Tijuana

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Puebla

4/5

Tijuana

2/5

First Half Result

Puebla

1/5

Tijuana

1/5

Correct Score

Puebla

3/5

Tijuana

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Atlas – Puebla prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).