Cruz Azul vs Juárez 5-0 Score & Prediction Review
Liga MX - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Cruz Azul5–0
JuárezOn these chances Cruz Azul would usually take 2.0 points and Juárez 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Cruz Azul.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Cruz Azul vs Juárez stats: how the match was played
Liga MX
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Cruz Azul had more than twice the shots on target
Cruz Azul
Juárez
9
Shots on target
4
5
Big chances
1
2
Corners
8
1
Yellow cards
4
58%
Possession
42%
Cruz Azul vs Juárez — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga MX
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Cruz Azul to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,055 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.8% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,689 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,090 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,384 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Cruz Azul ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Cruz Azul 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,456 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
Juárez 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.8% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Cruz Azul vs Juárez 5-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Cruz Azul vs Juárez. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Cruz Azul5
Juárez0Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Cruz Azul5Juárez0Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 40% | 60% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 53% | 47% | 76% | 24% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13% | 87% | 39% | 61% |
| 47% | 53% | 78% | 22% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66% | 34% | 84% | 16% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
40%
X-1
21%
X-X
11%
2-2
8%
X-2
6%
1-X
4%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
2-1
10.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
5.0%
1-2
4.9%
0-0
4.7%
0-1
4.4%
3-2
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Cruz Azul vs Juárez — Recent Form
Cruz Azul have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Juárez have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Cruz AzulJuárezOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Cruz AzulJuárezBoth Teams to Score
Cruz AzulJuárezOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Cruz AzulJuárezOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Cruz AzulJuárezFirst Half Result
Cruz AzulJuárezCorrect Score
Cruz AzulJuárez