Hard to break
3/10Dallas conceded first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 48%).
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Dallas vs SJ Earthquakes Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Major League Soccer - Season 2026
Riding their luck
Dallas are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+5points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Dallas 56% to winSJ Earthquakes 22%
Dallas vs SJ Earthquakes score prediction
Major League Soccer
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
3.3 goals in total, in line with the Major League Soccer average of 3.3.
goals expected
Dallas1.9
SJ Earthquakes1.4Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Dallas vs SJ Earthquakes: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Dallas vs SJ Earthquakes — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Major League Soccer
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Dallas to win
Our model 44%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 3,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 57%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 5,690 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 54%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 5,147 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 68%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 3,952 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.5% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 38%Bookmakers 36%
Our track record
In 1,211 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.
Dallas Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Dallas 0–1 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 37%
Our track record
In 1,013 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.0% than to our 55–60%.
SJ Earthquakes Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
SJ Earthquakes 0–1 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 3,268 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Dallas vs SJ Earthquakes — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Dallas vs SJ Earthquakes. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Dallas–
SJ Earthquakes–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Dallas–SJ Earthquakes–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
144%
X26%
230%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 56% | 44% |
| 34% | 66% | 67% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
138%
X38%
224%
1st Score
157%
X6%
236%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
28%
2-2
15%
X-1
14%
X-X
14%
X-2
10%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.6%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Dallas vs SJ Earthquakes: the stats that stand out
Major League Soccer
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Dallas: hard to break
3/10Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Dallas vs SJ Earthquakes: attack vs defence
Major League Soccer
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Major League Soccer teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Dallas: weak attack, good defence (1.47 xG, 1.54 xGA a game)
- SJ Earthquakes: weak attack, good defence (1.38 xG, 1.42 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Dallas vs SJ Earthquakes form and luck check
Major League Soccer
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Major League Soccer gamesDallas are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- DallasBookmakers: 56% to win today.+4.5
- SJ EarthquakesBookmakers: 22% to win today.+2.4
Last 5 matches
DallasD
W
L
W
D
SJ EarthquakesD
D
D
W
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Dallas 13th of 30 · SJ Earthquakes 15th of 30
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Dallas vs SJ Earthquakes: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Major League Soccer
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Major League Soccer gamesBTTS = both teams scoredSJ Earthquakes games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Major League Soccer average (64%), Dallas games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 64%
Dallas7 of 10
SJ Earthquakes4 of 10
BTTSleague 64%
Dallas6 of 10
SJ Earthquakes8 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 481 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Dallas vs SJ Earthquakes corners, cards and goal times
Major League Soccer
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameSJ Earthquakes score early, Dallas late
Dallas
SJ Earthquakes
4.7
Corners won · league 5.0
5.3
6.6
Corners conceded · league 5.0
4.4
1.8
Cards · league 2.1
2.1
1.8
Opponents' cards · league 2.1
1.3
47%
Goals before half-time · league 46%
64%
35%
Goals after 75' · league 23%
14%
44%
Conceded before half-time · league 46%
50%
22%
Conceded after 75' · league 23%
36%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
SJ Earthquakes1/5
Dallas2/5
Both Teams to Score
SJ Earthquakes5/5
Dallas2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
SJ Earthquakes2/5
Dallas2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
SJ Earthquakes3/5
Dallas3/5
First Half Result
SJ Earthquakes2/5
Dallas1/5
Correct Score
SJ Earthquakes3/5
Dallas0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction