Always chasing
7/9Real Salt Lake conceded first in 7 of 9 recent matches with goal times (league 48%).
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Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Major League Soccer - Season 2026
Riding their luck
St. Louis City are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+7points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games. Real Salt Lake are the other way round, behind their chances: about −6 points.
Bookmakers: St. Louis City 38% to winReal Salt Lake 37%
Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City score prediction
Major League Soccer
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
3.2 goals in total, a little under the Major League Soccer average of 3.3.
goals expected
Real Salt Lake1.7
St. Louis City1.5Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Major League Soccer
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Real Salt Lake to win
Our model 43%Bookmakers 37%
Our track record
In 1,064 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Real Salt Lake–
St. Louis City–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Real Salt Lake–St. Louis City–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Full Time
143%
X26%
231%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 42% | 58% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 53% | 47% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 53% | 47% |
| 31% | 69% | 63% | 37% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
137%
X39%
225%
1st Score
156%
X5%
239%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
2-2
16%
X-1
15%
X-X
13%
X-2
10%
1-X
7%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
6.9%
0-1
6.5%
2-0
6.1%
0-0
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.5%
3-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City: the stats that stand out
Major League Soccer
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Real Salt Lake: always chasing and shot-shy · St. Louis City: banker as favourites
7/9Shot-shy
4/10Real Salt Lake failed to score in 4 of their last 10 (league 20%).
Banker as favourites
5/7St. Louis City won 5 of 7 as favourites (league 51%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City: attack vs defence
Major League Soccer
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Major League Soccer teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Real Salt Lake: weak attack, good defence (1.29 xG, 1.44 xGA a game)
- St. Louis City: weak attack, weak defence (1.53 xG, 1.56 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City form and luck check
Major League Soccer
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Major League Soccer gamesSt. Louis City riding their luck, Real Salt Lake unlucky
- Real Salt LakeBookmakers: 37% to win today. · 9 of 10 gamesWasteful · −4 goals−5.6
- St. Louis CityBookmakers: 38% to win today.Clinical · +11 goals+6.8
Last 5 matches
St. Louis CityL
D
W
W
W
Real Salt LakeW
D
L
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Real Salt Lake 19th of 30 · St. Louis City 8th of 30
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Major League Soccer
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Major League Soccer gamesBTTS = both teams scoredSt. Louis City games go over 2.5 goals more often than the Major League Soccer average (65%), Real Salt Lake games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 65%
Real Salt Lake6 of 10
St. Louis City9 of 10
BTTSleague 64%
Real Salt Lake5 of 10
St. Louis City8 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 490 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City corners, cards and goal times
Major League Soccer
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameReal Salt Lake: last 9 with these statsSt. Louis City score early, Real Salt Lake late
Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City
4.4
Corners won · league 5.0
4.1
5.8
Corners conceded · league 5.0
5.5
2.6
Cards · league 2.1
2.1
2.3
Opponents' cards · league 2.1
2.2
25%
Goals before half-time · league 46%
68%
50%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
11%
40%
Conceded before half-time · league 46%
33%
20%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
33%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Real Salt Lake3/5
St. Louis City3/5
Both Teams to Score
Real Salt Lake2/5
St. Louis City3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Real Salt Lake3/5
St. Louis City3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Real Salt Lake4/5
St. Louis City2/5
First Half Result
Real Salt Lake2/5
St. Louis City3/5
Correct Score
Real Salt Lake1/5
St. Louis City0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction