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San Diego vs Seattle Sounders Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Major League Soccer - Season 2026
San Diego are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
San Diego vs Seattle Sounders score prediction
Major League Soccer
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
3.3 goals in total, in line with the Major League Soccer average of 3.3.
goals expected
San Diego1.8
Seattle Sounders1.5Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →San Diego vs Seattle Sounders — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Major League Soccer
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
San Diego to win
Our track record
In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
San Diego vs Seattle Sounders — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for San Diego vs Seattle Sounders. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
San Diego–
Seattle Sounders–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
San Diego–Seattle Sounders–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 37% | 63% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | 80% | 48% | 52% |
| 33% | 67% | 63% | 37% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 27% | 89% | 11% |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
28%
2-2
16%
X-1
15%
X-X
13%
X-2
9%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
2-1
4%
1-2
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
6.9%
2-0
6.0%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
5.3%
0-0
4.4%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
San Diego vs Seattle Sounders: attack vs defence
Major League Soccer
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Major League Soccer teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- San Diego: weak attack, weak defence (1.52 xG, 1.66 xGA a game)
- Seattle Sounders: good attack, weak defence (1.56 xG, 1.67 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →San Diego vs Seattle Sounders form and luck check
Major League Soccer
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Major League Soccer gamesSan Diego are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- San DiegoBookmakers: 43% to win today.−4.1
- Seattle SoundersBookmakers: 33% to win today.+3.7
Last 5 matches
Seattle SoundersSan DiegoStrength rank: San Diego 12th of 30 · Seattle Sounders 9th of 30
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →San Diego vs Seattle Sounders: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Major League Soccer
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Major League Soccer gamesBTTS = both teams scoredSan Diego games go over 2.5 goals more often than the Major League Soccer average (65%), Seattle Sounders games less often.
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 490 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →San Diego vs Seattle Sounders corners, cards and goal times
Major League Soccer
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameSeattle Sounders score late
San Diego
Seattle Sounders
5.1
Corners won · league 5.0
6.5
3.8
Corners conceded · league 5.0
6.6
2.1
Cards · league 2.1
1.5
2.6
Opponents' cards · league 2.1
1.4
44%
Goals before half-time · league 46%
24%
17%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
41%
52%
Conceded before half-time · league 46%
50%
20%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
20%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Seattle SoundersSan DiegoBoth Teams to Score
Seattle SoundersSan DiegoOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Seattle SoundersSan DiegoOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Seattle SoundersSan DiegoFirst Half Result
Seattle SoundersSan DiegoCorrect Score
Seattle SoundersSan Diego