- Home
- New York City vs Atlanta United
New York City vs Atlanta United Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Major League Soccer - Season 2026
New York City are scoring fewer goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
77% of teams scoring this many fewer goals than their chances scored more in their next 10 games.
New York City vs Atlanta United score prediction
Major League Soccer
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
New York City expected to create clearly more
2.8 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the Major League Soccer average is 3.3).
goals expected
New York City1.7
Atlanta United1.1Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →New York City vs Atlanta United — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for New York City vs Atlanta United. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
New York City–
Atlanta United–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
New York City–Atlanta United–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 56% | 44% |
| 30% | 70% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
30%
2-2
16%
X-1
15%
X-X
13%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
8.0%
0-1
7.1%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.5%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
3-2
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
New York City vs Atlanta United: attack vs defence
Major League Soccer
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Major League Soccer teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- New York City: weak attack, good defence (1.14 xG, 1.32 xGA a game)
- Atlanta United: weak attack, good defence (1.50 xG, 1.22 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →New York City vs Atlanta United form and luck check
Major League Soccer
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Major League Soccer gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- New York CityWasteful · −3 goals−3.6
- Atlanta United−3.3
Last 5 matches
Atlanta UnitedNew York CityStrength rank: New York City 16th of 30 · Atlanta United 23rd of 30
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →New York City vs Atlanta United: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Major League Soccer
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Major League Soccer gamesBTTS = both teams scoredNew York City games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Major League Soccer average (65%), Atlanta United games more often.
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 490 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →New York City vs Atlanta United corners, cards and goal times
Major League Soccer
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameBoth sides score early
New York City
Atlanta United
4.9
Corners won · league 5.0
5.5
5.2
Corners conceded · league 5.0
4.9
1.4
Cards · league 2.1
1.8
2.2
Opponents' cards · league 2.1
2.2
56%
Goals before half-time · league 46%
57%
0%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
21%
50%
Conceded before half-time · league 46%
38%
17%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
19%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
New York CityAtlanta UnitedBoth Teams to Score
New York CityAtlanta UnitedOver/Under 2.5 Goals
New York CityAtlanta UnitedOver/Under 3.5 Goals
New York CityAtlanta UnitedFirst Half Result
New York CityAtlanta UnitedCorrect Score
New York CityAtlanta United