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Columbus Crew vs Charlotte

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Major League Soccer - Season 2026

Fair result

Columbus Crew

3–1

Charlotte

3.9Chances (xG)0.7

On these chances Columbus Crew would usually take 2.8 points and Charlotte 0.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Columbus Crew.

Columbus Crew +0.2 pts vs chancesCharlotte −0.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte stats: how the match was played

Major League Soccer

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Columbus Crew had more than twice the shots on target

Columbus Crew

Charlotte

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

53%

Possession

47%

The match between Columbus Crew and Charlotte ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Columbus Crew win with 51% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Columbus Crew – Toronto prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Major League Soccer

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Columbus Crew to win

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 2,470 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 63%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,449 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 3,079 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 61%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 246 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.1% than to our 60–65%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Columbus Crew ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 43%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 6,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Columbus Crew Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Columbus Crew 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,796 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Charlotte Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Charlotte 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,271 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Columbus Crew vs Charlotte. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Major League Soccer - USA

Columbus Crew3

Charlotte1

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

· FT

Major League Soccer - USA

Columbus Crew3

Charlotte1

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

Yes 63%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

151%

X23%

226%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	17%	83%	38%	62%	51%	49%	76%	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	17%	83%	38%	62%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	51%	49%	76%	24%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	18%	82%	46%	54%	72%	28%	89%	11%
	35%	65%	66%	34%	87%	13%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	18%	82%	46%	54%
	35%	65%	66%	34%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	72%	28%	89%	11%
	87%	13%	96%	4%

1st Half

143%

X38%

219%

1st Score

159%

X4%

237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

35%

X-1

17%

X-X

12%

2-2

11%

X-2

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.4%

2-1

10.1%

1-0

8.0%

2-0

7.1%

1-2

6.8%

2-2

6.7%

3-1

5.7%

0-1

5.0%

3-0

4.7%

3-2

4.1%

0-0

4.0%

0-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte — Recent Form

Columbus Crew have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table. Charlotte have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Columbus Crew

Charlotte

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Columbus Crew

2/5

Charlotte

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Columbus Crew

3/5

Charlotte

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Columbus Crew

3/5

Charlotte

4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Columbus Crew

3/5

Charlotte

2/5

First Half Result

Columbus Crew

2/5

Charlotte

2/5

Correct Score

Columbus Crew

0/5

Charlotte

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Columbus Crew – Toronto prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).