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CF Montréal vs Atlanta United 0-3 Score & Prediction Review
Major League Soccer - Season 2026
CF Montréal0–3
Atlanta UnitedOn these chances CF Montréal would usually take 0.8 points and Atlanta United 2.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Atlanta United.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →CF Montréal vs Atlanta United stats: how the match was played
Major League Soccer
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Atlanta United had more than twice the shots on target
CF Montréal
Atlanta United
2
Shots on target
6
1
Big chances
3
7
Corners
6
1
Yellow cards
2
52%
Possession
48%
CF Montréal vs Atlanta United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Major League Soccer
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
CF Montréal to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Atlanta United to win.
Our track record
In 1,536 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,745 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,362 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,994 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 2,008 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
CF Montréal 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
Atlanta United 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,678 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
CF Montréal vs Atlanta United 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for CF Montréal vs Atlanta United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
CF Montréal0
Atlanta United3Winner
12 75%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
CF Montréal0Atlanta United3Winner
12 75%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 73% | 58% | 42% |
| 29% | 71% | 61% | 39% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
2-2
18%
X-1
14%
X-X
14%
X-2
12%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
8.0%
0-1
7.8%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
2-0
5.7%
0-2
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
CF Montréal vs Atlanta United — Recent Form
Atlanta United have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table. CF Montréal have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Atlanta UnitedCF MontréalOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
CF MontréalAtlanta UnitedBoth Teams to Score
CF MontréalAtlanta UnitedOver/Under 2.5 Goals
CF MontréalAtlanta UnitedOver/Under 3.5 Goals
CF MontréalAtlanta UnitedFirst Half Result
CF MontréalAtlanta UnitedCorrect Score
CF MontréalAtlanta United