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Los Angeles FC vs Austin

Los Angeles FC vs Austin 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Major League Soccer - Season 2026

Fair result

Los Angeles FC

3–1

Austin

3.2Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Los Angeles FC would usually take 2.4 points and Austin 0.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Los Angeles FC.

Los Angeles FC +0.6 pts vs chancesAustin −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Los Angeles FC vs Austin stats: how the match was played

Major League Soccer

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Los Angeles FC had more than twice the shots on target

Los Angeles FC

Austin

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

39%

Possession

61%

The match between Los Angeles FC and Austin ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Los Angeles FC win with 61% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sporting KC – Austin prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Los Angeles FC vs Austin — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Major League Soccer

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Los Angeles FC to win

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 1,056 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.9% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 5,303 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 65%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,956 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Los Angeles FC ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 55%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 1,241 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 53.9% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

Los Angeles FC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Los Angeles FC 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 58%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,464 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Austin Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Austin 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 78%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 2,571 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Los Angeles FC vs Austin 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Los Angeles FC vs Austin. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Major League Soccer - USA

Los Angeles FC3

Austin1

Winner

1 61%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-0 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

· FT

Major League Soccer - USA

Los Angeles FC3

Austin1

Winner

1 61%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-0 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

161%

X21%

218%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	20%	80%	43%	57%	55%	45%	78%	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	20%	80%	43%	57%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	55%	45%	78%	22%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	15%	85%	42%	58%	68%	32%	85%	15%
	47%	53%	78%	22%	93%	7%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	15%	85%	42%	58%
	47%	53%	78%	22%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	68%	32%	85%	15%
	93%	7%	98%	2%

1st Half

155%

X31%

214%

1st Score

169%

X5%

226%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

48%

X-1

18%

X-X

10%

2-2

1-X

X-2

2-1

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

10.2%

2-1

10.0%

1-1

9.9%

2-0

9.9%

3-0

6.9%

3-1

6.4%

0-0

5.2%

0-1

5.0%

1-2

4.8%

2-2

4.7%

3-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Los Angeles FC vs Austin — Recent Form

Los Angeles FC have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Austin have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Los Angeles FC

Austin

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Austin

2/5

Los Angeles FC

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Austin

4/5

Los Angeles FC

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Austin

3/5

Los Angeles FC

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Austin

2/5

Los Angeles FC

3/5

First Half Result

Austin

1/5

Los Angeles FC

0/5

Correct Score

Austin

0/5

Los Angeles FC

2/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sporting KC – Austin prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).