Banker as favourites
8/8Metalist 1925 Kharkiv won 8 of 8 as favourites (league 57%).
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Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Karpaty Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 12)
Riding their luck
Karpaty are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+4points more than their chances usually bring in their last 7 with xG
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers at kick-off: Karpaty 29% to winMetalist 1925 Kharkiv 44%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Karpaty score prediction
Premier League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv expected to create clearly more
2.3 goals in total, a little under the Premier League average of 2.5.
goals expected
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv1.3
Karpaty0.9Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Karpaty: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Karpaty — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premier League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the last odds before kick-off (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv to win
Our model 42%Bookmakers 44%
Our track record
In 3,615 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 6,475 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 51%
Our track record
In 5,160 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 74%Bookmakers 74%
Our track record
In 4,582 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 43%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 6,664 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.3% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0–1 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.9% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Karpaty Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Karpaty 0–1 goals
Our model 69%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 3,318 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Karpaty — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Karpaty. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
LIVE
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv1
Karpaty2Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv1Karpaty2Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
142%
X28%
230%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 60% | 40% |
| 34% | 66% | 69% | 31% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 95% | 5% |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
133%
X43%
225%
1st Score
149%
X8%
243%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
X-X
18%
2-2
17%
X-1
14%
X-2
11%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Karpaty: the stats that stand out
Premier League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Metalist 1925 Kharkiv: banker as favourites, always on the scoresheet and fast starters
8/8Always on the scoresheet
1/10Metalist 1925 Kharkiv failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 35%).
Fast starters
7/10Metalist 1925 Kharkiv scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 44%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Karpaty: attack vs defence
Premier League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Premier League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Metalist 1925 Kharkiv: good attack, good defence (1.49 xG, 0.59 xGA a game)
- Karpaty: weak attack, good defence (1.03 xG, 1.11 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Karpaty form and luck check
Premier League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premier League gamesKarpaty are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Metalist 1925 KharkivBookmakers: 44% to win at kick-off. · 9 of 10 games+2.2
- KarpatyBookmakers: 29% to win at kick-off. · 7 of 10 gamesClinical · +8 goals+4.2
Last 5 matches
Metalist 1925 KharkivW
W
W
W
W
KarpatyW
D
D
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 4th of 16 · Karpaty 5th of 16
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Karpaty: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Premier League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Premier League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredMetalist 1925 Kharkiv and Karpaty games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Premier League average (49%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 49%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv6 of 10
Karpaty5 of 10
BTTSleague 42%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv4 of 10
Karpaty4 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 234 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Karpaty corners, cards and goal times
Premier League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.7
- Cards: league 2.0
- Goals before half-time: league 43%
- Goals after 75': league 21%
Corners and cards for every league: League stats →
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Karpaty2/5
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv5/5
Both Teams to Score
Karpaty3/5
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv1/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Karpaty3/5
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv0/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Karpaty3/5
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv4/5
First Half Result
Karpaty2/5
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv3/5
Correct Score
Karpaty0/5
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction