Shot-shy
5/10Aberdeen failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 26%).
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Aberdeen vs Falkirk Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premiership - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Shot-shy
Aberdeen failed to score in 5 of their last 10 (league 26%).
5/10Failed to score · Aberdeen
Bookmakers: Aberdeen 49% to winFalkirk 25%
Aberdeen vs Falkirk score prediction
Premiership
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.7 goals in total, a little under the Premiership average of 2.8.
goals expected
Aberdeen1.5
Falkirk1.2Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Aberdeen vs Falkirk: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Aberdeen vs Falkirk — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Premiership
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Aberdeen to win
Our model 41%Bookmakers 49%
Our track record
In 3,634 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 55%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 6,524 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 5,206 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 71%Bookmakers 71%
Our track record
In 4,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 43%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 6,715 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Aberdeen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Aberdeen 0–1 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Falkirk Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Falkirk 0–1 goals
Our model 65%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 3,316 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Aberdeen vs Falkirk — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Aberdeen vs Falkirk. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Aberdeen–
Falkirk–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Aberdeen–Falkirk–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
141%
X26%
233%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 73% | 60% | 40% |
| 32% | 68% | 65% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
134%
X43%
224%
1st Score
155%
X7%
238%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
2-2
17%
X-X
16%
X-1
14%
X-2
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
12.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Aberdeen vs Falkirk: the stats that stand out
Premiership
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Aberdeen: shot-shy and slow starters
5/10Slow starters
3/10Aberdeen scored first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Aberdeen vs Falkirk: attack vs defence
Premiership
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Premiership teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Aberdeen: weak attack, weak defence (1.29 xG, 1.73 xGA a game)
- Falkirk: weak attack, weak defence (1.22 xG, 1.64 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Aberdeen vs Falkirk form and luck check
Premiership
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Premiership gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- AberdeenBookmakers: 49% to win today.−0.1
- FalkirkBookmakers: 25% to win today.+1.6
Last 5 matches
FalkirkW
W
L
D
W
AberdeenL
W
L
D
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Aberdeen 8th of 12 · Falkirk 7th of 12
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 12 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Aberdeen vs Falkirk: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Premiership
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Premiership gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Falkirk games more often than the Premiership average (53%), in Aberdeen games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 56%
Aberdeen5 of 10
Falkirk6 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Aberdeen4 of 10
Falkirk7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 237 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Aberdeen vs Falkirk corners, cards and goal times
Premiership
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameFalkirk score early, Aberdeen late
Aberdeen
Falkirk
5.9
Corners won · league 5.1
4.8
6.1
Corners conceded · league 5.1
6.5
2.6
Cards · league 2.0
1.7
1.7
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
2.1
33%
Goals before half-time · league 48%
67%
33%
Goals after 75' · league 22%
0%
69%
Conceded before half-time · league 48%
50%
0%
Conceded after 75' · league 22%
42%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Aberdeen2/5
Falkirk1/5
Both Teams to Score
Aberdeen3/5
Falkirk4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Aberdeen2/5
Falkirk4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Aberdeen2/5
Falkirk5/5
First Half Result
Aberdeen1/5
Falkirk2/5
Correct Score
Aberdeen1/5
Falkirk1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction