Fast starters
7/10Defensor Sporting scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 46%).
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Defensor Sporting vs Racing Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 12)
Bore draw alert
Fewer goals than usual expected in Defensor Sporting vs Racing
2.0goals expected · Primera Division average 2.4
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers: under 2.5 goals 59%
Defensor Sporting vs Racing score prediction
Primera Division
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Bore draw alertJust 2.0 goals expected
2.0 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the Primera Division average is 2.4).
goals expected
Defensor Sporting1.0
Racing1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Defensor Sporting vs Racing: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Defensor Sporting vs Racing — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Primera Division
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Racing to win
Our model 36%Bookmakers 34%
Our track record
In 1,528 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 56%Bookmakers 51%
Our track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 63%Bookmakers 59%
Our track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 82%Bookmakers 80%
Our track record
In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Defensor Sporting Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Defensor Sporting 0–1 goals
Our model 71%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Racing Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Racing 0–1 goals
Our model 70%Bookmakers 69%
Our track record
In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Defensor Sporting vs Racing — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Defensor Sporting vs Racing. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Defensor Sporting–
Racing–Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Defensor Sporting–Racing–Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Full Time
135%
X29%
236%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 36% | 64% | 63% | 38% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 72% | 28% | 92% | 9% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36% | 64% | 71% | 29% |
| 34% | 66% | 70% | 30% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
Correct Score
1-1
13.4%
0-1
12.4%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
11.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Defensor Sporting vs Racing: the stats that stand out
Primera Division
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Defensor Sporting: fast starters and flop as favourites · Racing: brick wall
7/10Flop as favourites
1/6Defensor Sporting won only 1 of 6 as favourites (league 45%).
Brick wall
5/10Racing kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 30%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Defensor Sporting vs Racing: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Primera Division
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Primera Division gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Racing games less often than the Primera Division average (49%), in Defensor Sporting games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 43%
Defensor Sporting5 of 10
Racing3 of 10
BTTSleague 49%
Defensor Sporting6 of 10
Racing2 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 295 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Defensor Sporting vs Racing form and luck check
Primera Division
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Primera Division gamesRacing: results in line with their chances
- RacingBookmakers: 34% to win today. · 5 of 10 gamesWasteful · −4 goals−1.7
Last 5 matches
RacingW
L
L
L
D
Defensor SportingL
L
L
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Defensor Sporting 7th of 16 · Racing 5th of 16
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Defensor Sporting vs Racing corners, cards and goal times
Primera Division
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameRacing score late
Defensor Sporting
Racing
4.1
Corners won · league 4.5
5.2
4.4
Corners conceded · league 4.5
4.1
2.4
Cards · league 3.0
2.7
4.2
Opponents' cards · league 3.0
2.9
45%
Goals before half-time · league 46%
10%
27%
Goals after 75' · league 26%
40%
32%
Conceded before half-time · league 46%
50%
58%
Conceded after 75' · league 26%
25%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Racing3/5
Defensor Sporting4/5
Both Teams to Score
Racing4/5
Defensor Sporting1/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Racing3/5
Defensor Sporting2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Racing5/5
Defensor Sporting2/5
First Half Result
Racing3/5
Defensor Sporting0/5
Correct Score
Racing0/5
Defensor Sporting0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction