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Central Español vs Nacional 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 10)

Central Español vs Nacional stats: how the match was played

Primera Division

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Central Español

Nacional

4

Shots on target

3

3

Corners

7

2

Yellow cards

2

The match between Central Español and Nacional ended 0-1. Our AI model correctly predicted an Nacional win with 59% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Nacional – Liverpool prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

Central Español vs Nacional — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Primera Division

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nacional to win

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 1,816 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,527 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,209 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,683 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Nacional ahead at half-time.

Our model 47%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 550 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.8% than to our 45–50%.

Central Español Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Central Español 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 83%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 392 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.1% of the time (bookmakers said 80.4%).

Nacional Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nacional 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 1,023 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Central Español vs Nacional 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Central Español vs Nacional. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Primera Division - Uruguay
Central EspañolCentral Español0
NacionalNacional1

Winner

2 59%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

0-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

117%
X24%
259%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT29%71%55%45%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%86%14%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Central Español49%51%83%17%
Nacional18%82%50%50%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Central Español96%4%99%1%
Nacional77%23%91%9%

1st Half

115%
X47%
238%

1st Score

128%
X8%
264%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

34%

X-2

19%

X-X

17%

1-1

9%

X-1

7%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

1%

Correct Score

0-1

14.5%

0-2

11.9%

1-1

11.3%

1-2

10.4%

0-0

8.2%

1-0

6.2%

0-3

5.9%

1-3

5.4%

2-1

4.4%

2-2

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Central Español vs Nacional — Recent Form

Nacional have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Central Español have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.

Last 5 matches

NacionalNacional
W
W
W
W
W
Central EspañolCentral Español
L
L
L
L
L

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

NacionalNacional
5/5
Central EspañolCentral Español
5/5

Both Teams to Score

NacionalNacional
2/5
Central EspañolCentral Español
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

NacionalNacional
3/5
Central EspañolCentral Español
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

NacionalNacional
3/5
Central EspañolCentral Español
4/5

First Half Result

NacionalNacional
0/5
Central EspañolCentral Español
0/5

Correct Score

NacionalNacional
1/5
Central EspañolCentral Español
2/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Nacional – Liverpool prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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