1. Mirassol vs Internacional

Mirassol vs Internacional 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 31)

Fair result
MirassolMirassol

2–0

InternacionalInternacional
2.3Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Mirassol would usually take 2.1 points and Internacional 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Mirassol.

Mirassol +0.9 pts vs chancesInternacional −0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Mirassol vs Internacional stats: how the match was played

Serie A

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Mirassol had clearly more shots on target

Mirassol

Internacional

7

Shots on target

4

4

Big chances

1

5

Corners

2

2

Yellow cards

6

0

Red cards

1

61%

Possession

39%

The match between Mirassol and Internacional ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Mirassol win with 46% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Fluminense – Internacional prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

Mirassol vs Internacional — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie A

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mirassol to win

Correct
Our model 47%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 3,514 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,143 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 59%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 807 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 80%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

In 1,718 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 46%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 4,292 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Mirassol Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mirassol 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.1% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Internacional Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Internacional 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,591 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.7% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Mirassol vs Internacional 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Mirassol vs Internacional. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
MirassolMirassol2
InternacionalInternacional0

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Full Time

146%
X28%
225%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT33%67%59%41%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT70%30%90%10%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Mirassol26%74%61%39%
Internacional42%58%77%23%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Mirassol85%15%96%5%
Internacional93%7%98%2%

1st Half

132%
X46%
222%

1st Score

153%
X11%
237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

X-X

19%

X-1

17%

2-2

14%

X-2

11%

1-X

6%

2-X

6%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

13.9%

1-1

12.9%

0-0

10.5%

2-0

9.3%

2-1

9.2%

0-1

8.7%

1-2

6.2%

2-2

4.2%

3-0

3.9%

0-2

3.9%

3-1

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Mirassol vs Internacional — Recent Form

Mirassol have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table. Internacional have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.

Last 5 matches

MirassolMirassol
D
W
L
D
W
InternacionalInternacional
W
L
D
W
L

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

InternacionalInternacional
4/5
MirassolMirassol
3/5

Both Teams to Score

InternacionalInternacional
3/5
MirassolMirassol
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

InternacionalInternacional
3/5
MirassolMirassol
5/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

InternacionalInternacional
5/5
MirassolMirassol
5/5

First Half Result

InternacionalInternacional
1/5
MirassolMirassol
4/5

Correct Score

InternacionalInternacional
2/5
MirassolMirassol
1/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Fluminense – Internacional prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

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