Home
Leagues
Serie A
Frosinone vs Sassuolo

Frosinone vs Sassuolo 4-2 Score & Prediction Review

Serie A - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result

Frosinone

4–2

Sassuolo

2.3Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Frosinone would usually take 1.8 points and Sassuolo 1.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Frosinone.

Frosinone +1.2 pts vs chancesSassuolo −1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Frosinone vs Sassuolo stats: how the match was played

Serie A

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Frosinone had clearly more shots on target

Frosinone

Sassuolo

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

42%

Possession

58%

The match between Frosinone and Sassuolo ended 4-2. Our AI model correctly predicted a Frosinone win with 52% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Como – Sassuolo prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Frosinone vs Sassuolo — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie A

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Frosinone to win

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,470 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 6,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

In 5,152 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 70%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 4,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 40%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 6,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Frosinone Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Frosinone 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Frosinone 2+ goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,850 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Sassuolo Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sassuolo 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Sassuolo 2+ goals.

Our model 74%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Frosinone vs Sassuolo 4-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Frosinone vs Sassuolo. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Serie A - Italy

Frosinone4

Sassuolo2

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

· FT

Serie A - Italy

Frosinone4

Sassuolo2

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

152%

X25%

223%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	24%	76%	48%	52%	60%	40%	83%	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	24%	76%	48%	52%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	60%	40%	83%	17%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	20%	80%	51%	49%	77%	23%	91%	9%
	41%	59%	74%	26%	91%	9%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	20%	80%	51%	49%
	41%	59%	74%	26%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	77%	23%	91%	9%
	91%	9%	97%	3%

1st Half

135%

X40%

225%

1st Score

152%

X7%

242%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

X-1

17%

X-X

16%

2-2

14%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

11.7%

1-0

11.4%

2-1

10.1%

2-0

9.0%

0-0

6.7%

0-1

6.3%

1-2

5.7%

2-2

5.2%

3-1

5.1%

3-0

4.9%

0-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Frosinone vs Sassuolo — Recent Form

Frosinone have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Sassuolo have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Frosinone

Sassuolo

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Sassuolo

2/5

Frosinone

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Sassuolo

5/5

Frosinone

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Sassuolo

3/5

Frosinone

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Sassuolo

2/5

Frosinone

3/5

First Half Result

Sassuolo

3/5

Frosinone

1/5

Correct Score

Sassuolo

1/5

Frosinone

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Como – Sassuolo prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).