Ceará vs Goiás 0-2 Score & Prediction Review
Serie B - Season 2026 (Round 35)
Ceará0–2
GoiásOn these chances Ceará would usually take 0.9 points and Goiás 1.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Ceará.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Ceará vs Goiás stats: how the match was played
Serie B
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Goiás had more than twice the shots on target
Ceará
Goiás
4
Shots on target
11
1
Big chances
3
2
Corners
8
4
Yellow cards
1
33%
Possession
67%
Ceará vs Goiás — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Serie B
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Ceará to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.4% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 6,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,642 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Our model’s pick
Ceará 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,468 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Goiás 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,367 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Ceará vs Goiás 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Ceará vs Goiás. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Ceará0
Goiás2Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Ceará0Goiás2Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 66% | 34% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 60% | 40% |
| 35% | 65% | 71% | 29% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
X-X
18%
X-1
16%
2-2
14%
X-2
12%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
8.6%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
4.4%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Ceará vs Goiás — Recent Form
Goiás have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table. Ceará have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.
Last 5 matches
GoiásCearáOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
CearáGoiásBoth Teams to Score
CearáGoiásOver/Under 2.5 Goals
CearáGoiásOver/Under 3.5 Goals
CearáGoiásFirst Half Result
CearáGoiásCorrect Score
CearáGoiás