Hard to break
2/10Südtirol conceded first in only 2 of their last 10 (league 47%).
Südtirol vs Sampdoria Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie B - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
Unlucky
Sampdoria are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−8points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Sampdoria 35% to winSüdtirol 33%
Südtirol vs Sampdoria score prediction
Serie B
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Bore draw alertJust 2.2 goals expected
2.2 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the Serie B average is 2.6).
goals expected
Südtirol1.2
Sampdoria0.9Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Südtirol vs Sampdoria: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Südtirol vs Sampdoria — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Serie B
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Südtirol to win
Our model 46%Bookmakers 33%
Our track record
In 372 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.8% than to our 45–50%.
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 55%Bookmakers 48%
Our track record
In 3,118 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 57%
Our track record
In 5,307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 80%Bookmakers 77%
Our track record
In 1,710 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 47%Bookmakers 46%
Our track record
In 4,238 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Südtirol Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Südtirol 0–1 goals
Our model 61%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Sampdoria Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Sampdoria 0–1 goals
Our model 77%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 2,573 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Südtirol vs Sampdoria — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Südtirol vs Sampdoria. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Südtirol–
Sampdoria–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Südtirol–Sampdoria–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 70%
Full Time
146%
X28%
225%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 34% | 66% | 60% | 40% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 70% | 30% | 90% | 10% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 73% | 61% | 39% |
| 42% | 58% | 77% | 23% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
131%
X47%
222%
1st Score
152%
X11%
237%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
X-X
19%
X-1
17%
2-2
14%
X-2
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
10.7%
0-1
9.2%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Südtirol vs Sampdoria: the stats that stand out
Serie B
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Südtirol: hard to break, brick wall and shot-shy
2/10Brick wall
5/10Südtirol kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 27%).
Shot-shy
4/10Südtirol failed to score in 4 of their last 10 (league 27%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Südtirol vs Sampdoria: attack vs defence
Serie B
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Serie B teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Südtirol: weak attack, good defence (1.14 xG, 1.37 xGA a game)
- Sampdoria: good attack, good defence (1.48 xG, 1.17 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Südtirol vs Sampdoria form and luck check
Serie B
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Serie B gamesSampdoria are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- SüdtirolBookmakers: 33% to win today.+2.2
- SampdoriaBookmakers: 35% to win today.Wasteful · −6 goals−7.6
Last 5 matches
SüdtirolL
D
W
D
W
SampdoriaL
L
W
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Südtirol 14th of 20 · Sampdoria 12th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Südtirol vs Sampdoria: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Serie B
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Serie B gamesBTTS = both teams scoredSüdtirol games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Serie B average (49%), Sampdoria games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 49%
Südtirol2 of 10
Sampdoria5 of 10
BTTSleague 53%
Südtirol4 of 10
Sampdoria6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 380 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Südtirol vs Sampdoria corners, cards and goal times
Serie B
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameSüdtirol score late
Südtirol
Sampdoria
3.6
Corners won · league 4.9
6.2
5.4
Corners conceded · league 4.9
3.2
2.2
Cards · league 2.3
2.1
1.7
Opponents' cards · league 2.3
2.3
20%
Goals before half-time · league 43%
50%
40%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
25%
29%
Conceded before half-time · league 43%
56%
57%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
19%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Südtirol2/5
Sampdoria4/5
Both Teams to Score
Südtirol2/5
Sampdoria3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Südtirol3/5
Sampdoria2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Südtirol4/5
Sampdoria3/5
First Half Result
Südtirol3/5
Sampdoria2/5
Correct Score
Südtirol1/5
Sampdoria0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction