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Mantova vs Palermo

Mantova vs Palermo 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Serie B - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result

Mantova

0–2

Palermo

1.5Chances (xG)1.5

On these chances Mantova would usually take 1.4 points and Palermo 1.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Palermo.

Mantova −1.4 pts vs chancesPalermo +1.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Mantova vs Palermo stats: how the match was played

Serie B

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Mantova

Palermo

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

56%

Possession

44%

The match between Mantova and Palermo ended 0-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Palermo win with 39% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Virtus Entella – Mantova prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Mantova vs Palermo — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie B

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Palermo to win

Correct

Our model 39%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 2,100 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 54%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 6,467 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 2,839 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 72%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 4,558 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 45%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,663 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Mantova Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mantova 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,677 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Palermo Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Palermo 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Palermo 2+ goals.

Our model 62%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 358 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Mantova vs Palermo 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Mantova vs Palermo. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Serie B - Italy

Mantova0

Palermo2

Winner

12 72%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

· FT

Serie B - Italy

Mantova0

Palermo2

Winner

12 72%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Full Time

133%

X28%

239%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	27%	73%	52%	48%	62%	38%	85%	15%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	27%	73%	52%	48%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	62%	38%	85%	15%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	32%	68%	66%	34%	87%	13%	96%	4%
	28%	72%	62%	38%	85%	15%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	32%	68%	66%	34%
	28%	72%	62%	38%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	87%	13%	96%	4%
	85%	15%	95%	5%

1st Half

127%

X45%

228%

1st Score

146%

X8%

246%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

19%

1-1

18%

2-2

18%

X-2

14%

X-1

13%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

13.0%

0-1

9.9%

1-0

8.7%

1-2

8.3%

0-0

8.0%

2-1

7.5%

0-2

6.5%

2-2

5.7%

2-0

5.5%

1-3

3.6%

3-1

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Mantova vs Palermo — Recent Form

Palermo have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Mantova have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table.

Last 5 matches

Palermo

Mantova

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Palermo

4/5

Mantova

2/5

Both Teams to Score

Palermo

1/5

Mantova

4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Palermo

3/5

Mantova

5/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Palermo

3/5

Mantova

3/5

First Half Result

Palermo

4/5

Mantova

3/5

Correct Score

Palermo

1/5

Mantova

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Virtus Entella – Mantova prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).