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Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Super League - Season 2026 (Round 29)
More goals than usual expected in Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan
Since July 2025, games with an alert like this averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan score prediction
Super League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.6 goals expected
3.6 goals in total: more goals than a typical Super League game (average 3.1).
goals expected
Wuhan Three Towns1.6
Shandong Taishan1.9Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Shandong Taishan to win
Our track record
In 3,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 2,450 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,303 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 246 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.1% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 1,214 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.9% of the time (bookmakers said 35.1%).
Our model’s pick
Wuhan Three Towns 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
Shandong Taishan 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 844 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.5% than to our 50–55%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Wuhan Three Towns–
Shandong Taishan–Winner
X2 66%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Wuhan Three Towns–Shandong Taishan–Winner
X2 66%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 41% | 59% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 53% | 47% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29% | 71% | 60% | 40% |
| 24% | 76% | 54% | 46% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
24%
1-1
20%
X-X
13%
X-2
13%
X-1
11%
2-X
7%
1-X
6%
1-2
4%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.0%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
7.4%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
6.8%
0-2
5.7%
0-0
5.0%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
2-3
3.4%
0-3
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan: attack vs defence
Super League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Super League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Wuhan Three Towns: good attack, weak defence (1.83 xG, 1.96 xGA a game)
- Shandong Taishan: good attack, weak defence (1.59 xG, 1.66 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan form and luck check
Super League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Super League gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Wuhan Three TownsBookmakers: 27% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals−1.5
- Shandong TaishanBookmakers: 50% to win today.+2.9
Last 5 matches
Shandong TaishanWuhan Three TownsStrength rank: Wuhan Three Towns 14th of 16 · Shandong Taishan 5th of 16
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Super League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Super League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Wuhan Three Towns and Shandong Taishan games more often than the Super League average (64%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 248 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Taishan corners, cards and goal times
Super League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Super League average
Wuhan Three Towns
Shandong Taishan
4.7
Corners won · league 5.0
4.0
5.4
Corners conceded · league 5.0
4.9
1.9
Cards · league 2.1
2.3
2.4
Opponents' cards · league 2.1
1.8
40%
Goals before half-time · league 42%
50%
27%
Goals after 75' · league 27%
33%
25%
Conceded before half-time · league 42%
69%
50%
Conceded after 75' · league 27%
15%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Shandong TaishanWuhan Three TownsBoth Teams to Score
Shandong TaishanWuhan Three TownsOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Shandong TaishanWuhan Three TownsOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Shandong TaishanWuhan Three TownsFirst Half Result
Shandong TaishanWuhan Three TownsCorrect Score
Shandong TaishanWuhan Three Towns