Flop as favourites
2/9Chengdu Rongcheng won only 2 of 9 as favourites (league 48%).
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Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Super League - Season 2026 (Round 28)
Unlucky
Chengdu Rongcheng are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−5points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games. Shanghai Port are the other way round, ahead of their chances: about +4 points.
Bookmakers: Chengdu Rongcheng 30% to winShanghai Port 47%
Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng score prediction
Super League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
3.1 goals in total, in line with the Super League average of 3.1.
goals expected
Shanghai Port1.6Chengdu Rongcheng1.5Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Shanghai Port to win
Our model 38%Bookmakers 47%
Our track record
In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 58%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 37%Bookmakers 37%
Our track record
In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time (bookmakers said 35.1%).
Shanghai Port Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Shanghai Port 0–1 goals
Our model 59%Bookmakers 44%
Our track record
In 1,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.
Chengdu Rongcheng Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Chengdu Rongcheng 0–1 goals
Our model 61%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Shanghai Port–
Chengdu Rongcheng–Winner
12 75%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Shanghai Port–Chengdu Rongcheng–Winner
12 75%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
138%
X25%
237%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 78% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28% | 72% | 59% | 41% |
| 29% | 71% | 61% | 39% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
136%
X37%
227%
1st Score
151%
X6%
243%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
2-2
20%
X-1
13%
X-X
13%
X-2
12%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.0%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.9%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.1%
3-0
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng: the stats that stand out
Super League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Chengdu Rongcheng: flop as favourites · Shanghai Port: slow starters
2/9Slow starters
3/10Shanghai Port scored first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 48%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng: attack vs defence
Super League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Super League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Shanghai Port: good attack, good defence (1.75 xG, 1.41 xGA a game)
- Chengdu Rongcheng: good attack, good defence (1.60 xG, 1.35 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng form and luck check
Super League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Super League gamesShanghai Port riding their luck, Chengdu Rongcheng unlucky
- Shanghai PortBookmakers: 47% to win today.+4.0
- Chengdu RongchengBookmakers: 30% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals−5.3
Last 5 matches
Shanghai PortW
D
W
W
D
Chengdu RongchengL
D
W
L
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Shanghai Port 5th of 16 · Chengdu Rongcheng 1st of 16
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Super League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Super League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredShanghai Port and Chengdu Rongcheng games both go over 2.5 goals less often than the Super League average (59%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 59%
Shanghai Port5 of 10
Chengdu Rongcheng4 of 10
BTTSleague 64%
Shanghai Port6 of 10
Chengdu Rongcheng7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 250 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Shanghai Port vs Chengdu Rongcheng corners, cards and goal times
Super League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameChengdu Rongcheng score late
Shanghai Port
Chengdu Rongcheng
6.3
Corners won · league 5.1
5.8
3.9
Corners conceded · league 5.1
4.5
1.5
Cards · league 2.0
2.2
2.5
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
1.9
50%
Goals before half-time · league 42%
36%
11%
Goals after 75' · league 26%
50%
64%
Conceded before half-time · league 42%
27%
0%
Conceded after 75' · league 26%
7%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Shanghai Port2/5
Chengdu Rongcheng2/5
Both Teams to Score
Shanghai Port3/5
Chengdu Rongcheng3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Shanghai Port2/5
Chengdu Rongcheng3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Shanghai Port4/5
Chengdu Rongcheng3/5
First Half Result
Shanghai Port2/5
Chengdu Rongcheng2/5
Correct Score
Shanghai Port2/5
Chengdu Rongcheng0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction