Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor 3-0 Score & Prediction Review
Super Lig - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
Fenerbahçe3–0
AlanyasporOn these chances Fenerbahçe would usually take 2.2 points and Alanyaspor 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Fenerbahçe.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor stats: how the match was played
Super Lig
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Fenerbahçe had clearly more shots on target
Fenerbahçe
Alanyaspor
7
Shots on target
5
8
Big chances
2
4
Corners
3
1
Yellow cards
0
59%
Possession
41%
Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super Lig
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Fenerbahçe to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,797 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,118 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 2,836 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).
Our model’s pick
Fenerbahçe ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Fenerbahçe 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,797 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
Alanyaspor 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,496 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.9% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Fenerbahçe3
Alanyaspor0Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Fenerbahçe3Alanyaspor0Winner
1 60%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18% | 82% | 48% | 52% |
| 53% | 47% | 83% | 17% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74% | 26% | 89% | 11% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
39%
X-1
19%
X-X
14%
2-2
8%
X-2
6%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
14.2%
2-0
11.3%
1-1
10.8%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
4.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor — Recent Form
Fenerbahçe have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Alanyaspor have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.
Last 5 matches
FenerbahçeAlanyasporOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
FenerbahçeAlanyasporBoth Teams to Score
FenerbahçeAlanyasporOver/Under 2.5 Goals
FenerbahçeAlanyasporOver/Under 3.5 Goals
FenerbahçeAlanyasporFirst Half Result
FenerbahçeAlanyasporCorrect Score
FenerbahçeAlanyaspor