Banfield vs Lanús Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 14)

Riding their luck

Lanús are taking more points than their chances usually bring

+6points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10

85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Lanús 46% to winBanfield 25%

Banfield vs Lanús score prediction

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Evenly matched in front of goal

2.2 goals in total, a little over the Liga Profesional de Fútbol average of 2.1.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Banfield vs Lanús: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Banfield vs Lanús — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lanús to win

Our model 40%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 2,098 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Our model 53%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Our model 60%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 80%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 3,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 53%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 1,241 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 53.9% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

Banfield Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Banfield 0–1 goals

Our model 72%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 1,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Lanús Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lanús 0–1 goals

Our model 66%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,271 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Banfield vs Lanús — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Banfield vs Lanús. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

BanfieldBanfield–
LanúsLanús–

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Full Time

132%
X28%
240%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT33%67%60%40%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT70%30%90%10%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Banfield36%64%72%28%
Lanús31%69%66%34%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Banfield91%9%98%2%
Lanús88%12%96%4%

1st Half

125%
X52%
223%

1st Score

144%
X10%
245%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

21%

1-1

17%

X-2

17%

2-2

17%

X-1

13%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.3%

0-1

12.2%

1-0

10.8%

0-0

10.4%

1-2

8.3%

0-2

7.4%

2-1

7.1%

2-0

5.7%

2-2

4.4%

1-3

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Banfield vs Lanús: the stats that stand out

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Lanús: brick wall, fast starters and banker as favourites

Brick wall
Lanús6/10

Lanús kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 34%).

Fast starters
Lanús7/10

Lanús scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 44%).

Banker as favourites
Lanús5/7

Lanús won 5 of 7 as favourites (league 43%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Banfield vs Lanús: attack vs defence

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Liga Profesional de Fútbol teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • BanfieldBanfield: good attack, weak defence (1.45 xG, 1.97 xGA a game)
  • LanúsLanús: good attack, weak defence (1.43 xG, 1.43 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Banfield vs Lanús form and luck check

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games

Lanús are taking more points than their chances usually bring

  • Banfield
    BanfieldBookmakers: 25% to win today.
    −0.4
  • Lanús
    LanúsBookmakers: 46% to win today.
    +6.0

Last 5 matches

LanúsLanús
W
W
D
W
W
5th in table
BanfieldBanfield
L
W
D
D
D
12th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Banfield 26th of 30 · Lanús 8th of 30

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Banfield vs Lanús: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Liga Profesional de Fútbol gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Banfield games more often than the Liga Profesional de Fútbol average (46%), in Lanús games less often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 36%
Banfield5 of 10
Lanús4 of 10
BTTSleague 46%
Banfield7 of 10
Lanús3 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 514 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Banfield vs Lanús corners, cards and goal times

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Banfield score early

Banfield

Lanús

3.2

Corners won · league 4.4

5.0

5.0

Corners conceded · league 4.4

5.7

2.2

Cards · league 2.5

2.0

1.6

Opponents' cards · league 2.5

1.7

55%

Goals before half-time · league 41%

21%

27%

Goals after 75' · league 25%

29%

38%

Conceded before half-time · league 41%

17%

13%

Conceded after 75' · league 25%

50%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

BanfieldBanfield
1/5
LanúsLanús
2/5

Both Teams to Score

BanfieldBanfield
1/5
LanúsLanús
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

BanfieldBanfield
3/5
LanúsLanús
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

BanfieldBanfield
4/5
LanúsLanús
5/5

First Half Result

BanfieldBanfield
2/5
LanúsLanús
2/5

Correct Score

BanfieldBanfield
1/5
LanúsLanús
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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