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Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán 2-2 Score & Prediction Review
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 16)
Banfield2–2
Atlético TucumánOn these chances Banfield would usually take 1.7 points and Atlético Tucumán 1.0; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Banfield.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán stats: how the match was played
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Banfield
Atlético Tucumán
4
Shots on target
4
1
Big chances
1
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow cards
1
59%
Possession
41%
Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Atlético Tucumán to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Banfield to win.
Our track record
In 1,504 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.6% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 3,106 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.1%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 1,259 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.2% of the time (bookmakers said 51.6%).
Our model’s pick
Banfield 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,646 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Atlético Tucumán 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,318 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Banfield2
Atlético Tucumán2Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Banfield2Atlético Tucumán2Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 32% | 68% | 58% | 42% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 69% | 31% | 90% | 11% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34% | 66% | 70% | 30% |
| 32% | 68% | 67% | 33% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 88% | 12% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
22%
1-1
17%
2-2
17%
X-2
16%
X-1
15%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.4%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán — Recent Form
Atlético Tucumán have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table. Banfield have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Atlético TucumánBanfieldOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
BanfieldAtlético TucumánBoth Teams to Score
BanfieldAtlético TucumánOver/Under 2.5 Goals
BanfieldAtlético TucumánOver/Under 3.5 Goals
BanfieldAtlético TucumánFirst Half Result
BanfieldAtlético TucumánCorrect Score
BanfieldAtlético Tucumán