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Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central 2-3 Score & Prediction Review
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 13)
Atlético Tucumán2–3
Rosario CentralOn these chances Atlético Tucumán would usually take 1.2 points and Rosario Central 1.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Rosario Central.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central stats: how the match was played
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Rosario Central had clearly more shots on target
Atlético Tucumán
Rosario Central
5
Shots on target
9
1
Big chances
0
5
Corners
6
3
Yellow cards
2
32%
Possession
68%
Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Rosario Central to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).
Our model’s pick
Atlético Tucumán 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Our model’s pick
Rosario Central 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central 2-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Atlético Tucumán2
Rosario Central3Winner
X2 77%
BTTS*
No 57%
Correct Score
0-1 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 74%
Atlético Tucumán2Rosario Central3Winner
X2 77%
BTTS*
No 57%
Correct Score
0-1 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 74%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 38% | 62% | 65% | 35% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 74% | 26% | 93% | 7% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45% | 55% | 81% | 19% |
| 29% | 71% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
22%
2-2
21%
X-2
18%
1-1
13%
X-1
12%
1-X
6%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
15.3%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
12.7%
1-0
9.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
4.0%
0-3
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Atlético Tucumán vs Rosario Central — Recent Form
Rosario Central have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. Atlético Tucumán have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Rosario CentralAtlético TucumánOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Rosario CentralAtlético TucumánBoth Teams to Score
Rosario CentralAtlético TucumánOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Rosario CentralAtlético TucumánOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Rosario CentralAtlético TucumánFirst Half Result
Rosario CentralAtlético TucumánCorrect Score
Rosario CentralAtlético Tucumán