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Macarthur vs Sydney 0-3 Score & Prediction Review

A-League Men - Season 2025/2026 (Round 12)

Fair result
MacarthurMacarthur

0–3

SydneySydney
1.3Chances (xG)1.4

On these chances Macarthur would usually take 1.3 points and Sydney 1.5; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Sydney.

Macarthur −1.3 pts vs chancesSydney +1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Macarthur vs Sydney stats: how the match was played

A-League Men

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Sydney had more than twice the shots on target

Macarthur

Sydney

3

Shots on target

6

1

Big chances

3

6

Corners

3

0

Yellow cards

2

45%

Possession

56%

The match between Macarthur and Sydney ended 0-3. Our AI model correctly predicted an Sydney win with 41% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Newcastle Jets – Macarthur prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Macarthur vs Sydney — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · A-League Men

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sydney to win

Correct
Our model 41%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 3,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 3,955 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 38%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 2,001 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Macarthur Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Macarthur 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Sydney Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sydney 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Macarthur vs Sydney 0-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Macarthur vs Sydney. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
A-League Men - Australia
MacarthurMacarthur0
SydneySydney3

Winner

X2 65%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

135%
X24%
241%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT24%76%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT57%43%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Macarthur31%69%64%36%
Sydney27%73%58%42%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Macarthur85%15%95%5%
Sydney81%19%93%7%

1st Half

128%
X38%
234%

1st Score

142%
X6%
252%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

27%

1-1

19%

X-2

16%

X-X

12%

X-1

11%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.1%

0-1

8.7%

1-0

8.6%

1-2

8.2%

2-1

7.5%

0-0

6.3%

0-2

6.2%

2-0

5.4%

2-2

5.4%

1-3

4.4%

3-1

3.6%

2-3

3.3%

0-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Newcastle Jets – Macarthur prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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