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Sirius vs AIK 1-2 Score & Prediction Review
Allsvenskan - Season 2026 (Round 25)
Sirius1–2
AIKOn these chances Sirius would usually take 1.5 points and AIK 1.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Sirius.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Sirius vs AIK stats: how the match was played
Allsvenskan
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Sirius
AIK
4
Shots on target
4
1
Big chances
1
12
Corners
1
1
Yellow cards
2
53%
Possession
47%
Sirius vs AIK — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Allsvenskan
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Sirius to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,514 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 2,479 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,354 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,408 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Sirius ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 1,221 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Sirius 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,824 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
AIK 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,309 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Sirius vs AIK 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sirius vs AIK. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Sirius1
AIK2Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Sirius1AIK2Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 40% | 60% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 53% | 47% | 77% | 23% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21% | 79% | 50% | 50% |
| 34% | 66% | 65% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 25% | 90% | 10% |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
X-1
16%
2-2
16%
X-X
14%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
0-0
4.9%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Sirius vs AIK — Recent Form
Sirius have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. AIK have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.
Last 5 matches
SiriusAIKOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
SiriusAIKBoth Teams to Score
SiriusAIKOver/Under 2.5 Goals
SiriusAIKOver/Under 3.5 Goals
SiriusAIKFirst Half Result
SiriusAIKCorrect Score
SiriusAIK