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IFK Göteborg vs AIK 1-2 Score & Prediction Review
Allsvenskan - Season 2026 (Round 11)
IFK Göteborg1–2
AIKOn these chances IFK Göteborg would usually take 1.4 points and AIK 1.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: IFK Göteborg.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →IFK Göteborg vs AIK stats: how the match was played
Allsvenskan
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
IFK Göteborg had clearly more shots on target
IFK Göteborg
AIK
3
Shots on target
2
0
Big chances
3
10
Corners
7
0
Yellow cards
2
50%
Possession
50%
IFK Göteborg vs AIK — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Allsvenskan
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
AIK to win
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: IFK Göteborg to win.
Our track record
In 1,498 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.6% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,740 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.9%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,121 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,553 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.4% of the time (bookmakers said 71.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,646 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).
Our model’s pick
IFK Göteborg 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,442 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
AIK 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,630 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
IFK Göteborg vs AIK 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for IFK Göteborg vs AIK. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
IFK Göteborg1
AIK2Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
IFK Göteborg1AIK2Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 48% | 52% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30% | 70% | 64% | 36% |
| 27% | 73% | 60% | 40% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
| 83% | 17% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
21%
2-2
21%
X-X
15%
X-2
14%
X-1
13%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.0%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
0-0
6.6%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.5%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score