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Hammarby vs Djurgården 0-1 Score & Prediction Review
Allsvenskan - Season 2026 (Round 23)
Hammarby0–1
DjurgårdenOn these chances Hammarby would usually take 1.7 points and Djurgården 1.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Hammarby.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Hammarby vs Djurgården stats: how the match was played
Allsvenskan
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Hammarby
Djurgården
6
Shots on target
5
2
Big chances
2
5
Corners
2
3
Yellow cards
3
66%
Possession
34%
Hammarby vs Djurgården — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Allsvenskan
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Hammarby to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 2,449 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,298 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,373 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Hammarby ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,224 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Hammarby 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Hammarby 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,849 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Djurgården 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,653 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Hammarby vs Djurgården 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Hammarby vs Djurgården. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Hammarby0
Djurgården1Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Hammarby0Djurgården1Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 40% | 60% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 53% | 47% |
| 31% | 69% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% |
| 83% | 17% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
30%
X-X
16%
X-1
15%
2-2
14%
X-2
9%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-0
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.1%
2-0
6.1%
0-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Hammarby vs Djurgården — Recent Form
Djurgården have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. Hammarby have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table.
Last 5 matches
DjurgårdenHammarbyOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
DjurgårdenHammarbyBoth Teams to Score
DjurgårdenHammarbyOver/Under 2.5 Goals
DjurgårdenHammarbyOver/Under 3.5 Goals
DjurgårdenHammarbyFirst Half Result
DjurgårdenHammarbyCorrect Score
DjurgårdenHammarby