Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Bundesliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)
Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Bundesliga
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
FSV Mainz 05 to win
Our track record
In 3,553 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.8% of the time (bookmakers said 46.8%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,606 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,241 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,896 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 2,016 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Schalke 04 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,444 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
FSV Mainz 05 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,581 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Schalke 04–
FSV Mainz 05–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Schalke 04–FSV Mainz 05–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 32% | 68% | 63% | 37% |
 | 26% | 74% | 57% | 43% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
| 80% | 20% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
25%
1-1
22%
X-X
14%
X-2
12%
X-1
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.4%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.7%
1-0
7.3%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
6.0%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 — Recent Form
FSV Mainz 05 have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Schalke 04 have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 11th in the table.
Last 5 matches
FSV Mainz 05Schalke 04Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05Both Teams to Score
Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05First Half Result
Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05Correct Score
Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05