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Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Carabao Cup - Season 2026/2027 8th Finals (Knock Out)
Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Carabao Cup
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Arsenal to win
Our track record
In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 121 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 51.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.3% than to our 65–70%.
Our model’s pick
Arsenal ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Fleetwood Town 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).
Our model’s pick
Arsenal 2+ goals
Our track record
In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Winner
2 61%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Winner
2 61%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46% | 54% | 78% | 22% | |
| 16% | 84% | 44% | 56% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94% | 6% | 98% | 2% | |
| 71% | 29% | 88% | 12% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
37%
X-2
19%
X-X
12%
1-1
10%
X-1
8%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
4%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
0-1
11.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
10.4%
1-1
10.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
6.1%
0-0
5.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
2-3
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Carabao Cup
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Carabao Cup gamesBTTS = both teams scoredArsenal games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Carabao Cup average (56%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 91 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal corners, cards and goal times
Carabao Cup
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameArsenal: last 5 with these statsGoal times close to the Carabao Cup average
Fleetwood Town
Arsenal
–
Corners won · league 4.9
4.8
–
Corners conceded · league 4.9
3.8
–
Cards · league 1.6
1.4
–
Opponents' cards · league 1.6
2.4
–
Goals before half-time · league 43%
30%
–
Goals after 75' · league 24%
20%
–
Conceded before half-time · league 43%
0%
–
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
33%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score