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Fulham vs Crystal Palace

Fulham vs Crystal Palace 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Carabao Cup - Season 2026/2027 8th Finals (Knock Out)

Smash-and-grab

Crystal Palace won with less than half the chances

Fulham

0–1

Crystal Palace

1.7Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Fulham would usually take 2.2 points and Crystal Palace 0.6; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Fulham.

Fulham −2.2 pts vs chancesCrystal Palace +2.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Fulham vs Crystal Palace stats: how the match was played

Carabao Cup

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Fulham

Crystal Palace

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

74%

Possession

26%

The match between Fulham and Crystal Palace ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Fulham win at 52% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

Fulham vs Crystal Palace — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Carabao Cup

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fulham to win

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 2,473 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,711 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 3,103 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,408 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fulham ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 40%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,634 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Fulham Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fulham 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 54%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,800 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Crystal Palace Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Crystal Palace 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 68%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,294 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Fulham vs Crystal Palace 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Fulham vs Crystal Palace. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Carabao Cup - England

Fulham0

Crystal Palace1

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

· FT

Carabao Cup - England

Fulham0

Crystal Palace1

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

152%

X23%

225%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	18%	82%	39%	61%	52%	48%	76%	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	18%	82%	39%	61%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	52%	48%	76%	24%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	18%	82%	46%	54%	71%	29%	88%	12%
	37%	63%	68%	32%	87%	13%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	18%	82%	46%	54%
	37%	63%	68%	32%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	71%	29%	88%	12%
	87%	13%	96%	4%

1st Half

140%

X39%

221%

1st Score

158%

X5%

237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

35%

X-1

16%

X-X

13%

2-2

13%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

10.2%

2-1

9.9%

1-0

8.3%

2-0

7.0%

1-2

6.3%

2-2

5.9%

3-1

5.9%

3-0

5.3%

0-1

5.2%

0-0

4.6%

3-2

3.9%

0-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Fulham vs Crystal Palace — Recent Form

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Fulham

1/3

Crystal Palace

0/2

Both Teams to Score

Fulham

1/3

Crystal Palace

0/2

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Fulham

2/3

Crystal Palace

1/2

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Fulham

2/3

Crystal Palace

2/2

First Half Result

Fulham

1/3

Crystal Palace

0/2

Correct Score

Fulham

0/3

Crystal Palace

0/2

correct predictionwrong prediction