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Sunderland vs Brentford Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Carabao Cup - Season 2026/2027 8th Finals (Knock Out)
Sunderland vs Brentford — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Carabao Cup
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Brentford to win
Our track record
In 3,629 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 6,506 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,338 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,987 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,724 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Sunderland 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,713 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Brentford 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Sunderland vs Brentford — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Sunderland vs Brentford. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Sunderland–
Brentford–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Sunderland–Brentford–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 35% | 65% | 66% | 34% |
 | 24% | 76% | 54% | 46% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
26%
1-1
18%
X-2
17%
X-X
15%
X-1
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.0%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
1-0
7.0%
0-2
6.8%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
SunderlandBrentfordBoth Teams to Score
SunderlandBrentfordOver/Under 2.5 Goals
SunderlandBrentfordOver/Under 3.5 Goals
SunderlandBrentfordFirst Half Result
SunderlandBrentfordCorrect Score
SunderlandBrentford