Always chasing
6/8Villarreal conceded first in 6 of their last 8 (league 48%).
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Slavia Praha vs Villarreal Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 5)
Always chasing
Villarreal conceded first in 6 of their last 8 (league 48%).
6/8Conceded first · Villarreal
Slavia Praha vs Villarreal score prediction
Champions League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
3.4 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the Champions League average is 3.7).
goals expected
Slavia Praha1.8Villarreal1.6Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Slavia Praha vs Villarreal: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Slavia Praha vs Villarreal — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Champions League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Slavia Praha to win
Our model 42%Bookmakers 30%
Our track record
In 1,071 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 29.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 59%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 5,740 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.9%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 3,104 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 62%Bookmakers 59%
Our track record
In 2,417 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 41%Bookmakers 39%
Our track record
In 6,646 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).
Slavia Praha Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Slavia Praha 0–1 goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 3,487 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.1% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Villarreal Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Villarreal 0–1 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 49%
Our track record
In 677 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Slavia Praha vs Villarreal — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Slavia Praha vs Villarreal. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Slavia Praha–
Villarreal–Winner
1X 64%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Slavia Praha–Villarreal–Winner
1X 64%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Full Time
141%
X23%
236%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 40% | 60% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 76% | 24% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 55% | 45% |
| 30% | 70% | 60% | 40% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 90% | 10% |
| 82% | 18% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
137%
X41%
222%
1st Score
157%
X5%
239%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
X-1
18%
2-2
15%
X-X
13%
X-2
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
7.4%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.7%
0-2
5.2%
0-0
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
3-0
3.3%
3-2
3.3%
2-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Slavia Praha vs Villarreal: the stats that stand out
Champions League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Villarreal: always chasing and leaky · Slavia Praha: shot-shy
6/8Leaky
0/8Villarreal kept no clean sheet in their last 8 (league 22%).
Shot-shy
3/8Slavia Praha failed to score in 3 of their last 8 (league 22%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Slavia Praha vs Villarreal: attack vs defence
Champions League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Champions League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Slavia Praha: weak attack, weak defence (1.44 xG, 2.01 xGA a game)
- Villarreal: weak attack, weak defence (1.28 xG, 1.80 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Slavia Praha vs Villarreal: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Champions League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Champions League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredSlavia Praha and Villarreal games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Champions League average (69%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 69%
Slavia Praha6 of 8
Villarreal8 of 8
BTTSleague 60%
Slavia Praha5 of 8
Villarreal5 of 8
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 189 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Slavia Praha vs Villarreal corners, cards and goal times
Champions League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.8
- Cards: league 1.8
- Goals before half-time: league 42%
- Goals after 75': league 20%
Corners and cards for every league: League stats →
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Villarreal4/4
Slavia Praha1/4
Both Teams to Score
Villarreal3/4
Slavia Praha1/4
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Villarreal4/4
Slavia Praha1/4
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Villarreal0/4
Slavia Praha2/4
First Half Result
Villarreal1/4
Slavia Praha1/4
Correct Score
Villarreal0/4
Slavia Praha0/4
correct predictionwrong prediction