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Atlético Madrid vs Bodø / Glimt 1-2 Score & Prediction Review
Champions League - Season 2025/2026 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 8)
Bodø / Glimt won with fewer chances than Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid1–2
Bodø / GlimtOn these chances Atlético Madrid would usually take 1.9 points and Bodø / Glimt 0.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Atlético Madrid.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Atlético Madrid vs Bodø / Glimt stats: how the match was played
Champions League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Atlético Madrid
Bodø / Glimt
8
Shots on target
7
2
Big chances
5
12
Corners
1
2
Yellow cards
2
64%
Possession
36%
Atlético Madrid vs Bodø / Glimt — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Champions League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Atlético Madrid to win
WrongOur track record
In 1,797 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 6,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.
Our track record
In 126 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 50.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.4% than to our 65–70%.
Our model’s pick
Atlético Madrid ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Atlético Madrid 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,796 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
Bodø / Glimt 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Atlético Madrid vs Bodø / Glimt 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Atlético Madrid vs Bodø / Glimt. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Atlético Madrid1
Bodø / Glimt2Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Atlético Madrid1Bodø / Glimt2Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19% | 81% | 47% | 53% |
| 43% | 57% | 73% | 27% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 27% | 89% | 11% |
| 90% | 10% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
37%
2-2
17%
X-1
14%
X-2
11%
X-X
7%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
10.7%
2-1
10.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-0
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
5.3%
0-0
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score