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Galatasaray vs FC Barcelona 1-4 Score & Prediction Review
Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)
Galatasaray1–4
FC BarcelonaOn these chances Galatasaray would usually take 0.2 points and FC Barcelona 2.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: FC Barcelona.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Galatasaray vs FC Barcelona stats: how the match was played
Champions League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
FC Barcelona had more than twice the shots on target
Galatasaray
FC Barcelona
3
Shots on target
11
1
Big chances
10
1
Corners
6
2
Yellow cards
0
28%
Possession
72%
Galatasaray vs FC Barcelona — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Champions League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
FC Barcelona to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,478 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 2,450 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,156 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.
Our track record
In 256 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Galatasaray ahead at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: FC Barcelona ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 1,214 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Galatasaray 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
FC Barcelona 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,013 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.3%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Galatasaray vs FC Barcelona 1-4 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Galatasaray vs FC Barcelona. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Galatasaray1
FC Barcelona4Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-2 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
Galatasaray1FC Barcelona4Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-2 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 85% | 33% | 67% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 45% | 55% | 70% | 30% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34% | 66% | 61% | 39% |
| 22% | 78% | 47% | 53% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 19% | 92% | 8% |
| 72% | 28% | 87% | 13% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
2-2
24%
X-1
15%
X-2
11%
X-X
10%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-2
8.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-1
6.8%
0-1
6.7%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
4.8%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-1
3.5%
2-0
3.4%
0-0
3.4%
3-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Galatasaray vs FC Barcelona — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
FC BarcelonaGalatasarayBoth Teams to Score
FC BarcelonaGalatasarayOver/Under 2.5 Goals
FC BarcelonaGalatasarayOver/Under 3.5 Goals
FC BarcelonaGalatasarayFirst Half Result
FC BarcelonaGalatasarayCorrect Score
FC BarcelonaGalatasaray