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Manchester United vs Roma Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 4)
Manchester United vs Roma — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Champions League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Manchester United to win
Our track record
In 3,597 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,694 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,305 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,957 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Manchester United 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,018 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Roma 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,652 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Manchester United vs Roma — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Manchester United vs Roma. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Manchester United–
Roma–Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Manchester United–Roma–Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26% | 74% | 57% | 43% |
 | 31% | 69% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
24%
1-1
22%
X-1
13%
X-X
13%
X-2
13%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
6.3%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
3-2
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
RomaManchester UnitedBoth Teams to Score
RomaManchester UnitedOver/Under 2.5 Goals
RomaManchester UnitedOver/Under 3.5 Goals
RomaManchester UnitedFirst Half Result
RomaManchester UnitedCorrect Score
RomaManchester United