Brick wall
4/10Liverpool kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 22%).
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Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 4)
Brick wall
Liverpool kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 22%).
4/10Clean sheets · Liverpool
Bookmakers: Liverpool 60% to win
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Champions League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Fenerbahçe to win
Our model 39%Bookmakers 19%
Our track record
In 1,534 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 57%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 5,734 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 64%
Our track record
In 5,354 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 66%Bookmakers 57%
Our track record
In 3,987 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 37%Bookmakers 36%
Our track record
In 1,221 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.
Fenerbahçe Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Fenerbahçe 0–1 goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 3,496 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Liverpool Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Liverpool 0–1 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 37%
Our track record
In 361 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Fenerbahçe–
Liverpool–Winner
12 76%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Fenerbahçe–Liverpool–Winner
12 76%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
139%
X24%
237%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 44% | 56% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28% | 72% | 58% | 42% |
| 30% | 70% | 60% | 40% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 19% | 92% | 8% |
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
136%
X37%
227%
1st Score
153%
X6%
241%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
X-1
18%
2-2
16%
X-X
12%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
7.7%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.9%
0-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool: the stats that stand out
Champions League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Liverpool: brick wall
4/10Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Champions League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Champions League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Liverpool games less often than the Champions League average (59%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 66%
Liverpool6 of 10
BTTSleague 59%
Liverpool3 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 189 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool form and luck check
Champions League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Champions League gamesLiverpool: results in line with their chances
- LiverpoolBookmakers: 60% to win today.+0.6
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool corners, cards and goal times
Champions League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Champions League average
Fenerbahçe
Liverpool
–
Corners won · league 4.7
6.5
–
Corners conceded · league 4.7
3.8
–
Cards · league 1.8
1.1
–
Opponents' cards · league 1.8
1.0
–
Goals before half-time · league 42%
38%
–
Goals after 75' · league 20%
12%
–
Conceded before half-time · league 42%
42%
–
Conceded after 75' · league 20%
25%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Fenerbahçe1/5
Liverpool3/3
Both Teams to Score
Fenerbahçe3/5
Liverpool3/3
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Fenerbahçe2/5
Liverpool3/3
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Fenerbahçe3/5
Liverpool1/3
First Half Result
Fenerbahçe0/5
Liverpool1/3
Correct Score
Fenerbahçe1/5
Liverpool0/3
correct predictionwrong prediction