Fast starters
8/9Paris Saint Germain scored first in 8 of 9 recent matches with goal times (league 48%).
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Paris Saint Germain vs Roma Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 5)
Fast starters
Paris Saint Germain scored first in 8 of 9 recent matches with goal times (league 48%).
8/9Scored first · Paris Saint Germain
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Paris Saint Germain vs Roma: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Paris Saint Germain vs Roma — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Champions League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Paris Saint Germain to win
Our model 54%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 2,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.9% of the time (bookmakers said 55.3%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 58%Bookmakers 60%
Our track record
In 5,740 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.9%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 62%Bookmakers 71%
Our track record
In 3,104 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 286 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.0% than to our 55–60%.
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Paris Saint Germain ahead at half-time
Our model 40%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 1,937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.9% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Paris Saint Germain Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Paris Saint Germain 2+ goals
Our model 57%Bookmakers 75%
Our track record
In 3,487 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.1% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Roma Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Roma 0–1 goals
Our model 70%Bookmakers 74%
Our track record
In 3,311 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.8% of the time (bookmakers said 67.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Paris Saint Germain vs Roma — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Paris Saint Germain vs Roma. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Paris Saint Germain–
Roma–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Paris Saint Germain–Roma–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Full Time
154%
X22%
224%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 74% | 26% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 83% | 43% | 57% |
 | 40% | 60% | 70% | 30% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69% | 31% | 85% | 15% |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
140%
X39%
222%
1st Score
158%
X4%
237%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
37%
X-1
18%
2-2
12%
X-X
10%
X-2
8%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.4%
0-1
5.1%
0-0
4.3%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Paris Saint Germain vs Roma: the stats that stand out
Champions League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Paris Saint Germain: fast starters, always on the scoresheet and brick wall
8/9Always on the scoresheet
0/10Paris Saint Germain scored in all of their last 10 (league 22% fail to score).
Brick wall
4/10Paris Saint Germain kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 22%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Paris Saint Germain vs Roma: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Champions League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Champions League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredParis Saint Germain games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Champions League average (69%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 69%
Paris Saint Germain6 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
Paris Saint Germain6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 189 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Paris Saint Germain vs Roma corners, cards and goal times
Champions League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.8
- Cards: league 1.8
- Goals before half-time: league 42%
- Goals after 75': league 20%
Corners and cards for every league: League stats →
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Paris Saint Germain2/4
Roma2/4
Both Teams to Score
Paris Saint Germain2/4
Roma3/4
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Paris Saint Germain4/4
Roma3/4
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Paris Saint Germain0/4
Roma1/4
First Half Result
Paris Saint Germain2/4
Roma1/4
Correct Score
Paris Saint Germain0/4
Roma1/4
correct predictionwrong prediction