1. Slavia Praha vs Arsenal

Slavia Praha vs Arsenal Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 4)

Brick wall

Arsenal kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 22%).

6/10Clean sheets · Arsenal

Slavia Praha vs Arsenal score prediction

Champions League

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Arsenal expected to create clearly more

3.0 goals in total: fewer goals than usual (the Champions League average is 3.6).

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Slavia Praha vs Arsenal: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Slavia Praha vs Arsenal — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Champions League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Arsenal to win

Our model 47%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 3,478 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Our model 54%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 3,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Our model 52%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 2,836 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 73%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 4,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 41%Bookmakers 32%

Our track record

In 2,228 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Slavia Praha Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Slavia Praha 0–1 goals

Our model 70%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 1,579 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Arsenal Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Arsenal 0–1 goals

Our model 58%Bookmakers 26%

Our track record

In 635 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Slavia Praha vs Arsenal — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Slavia Praha vs Arsenal. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha–
ArsenalArsenal–

Winner

X2 71%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

0-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

129%
X24%
247%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT28%72%52%48%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT63%37%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Slavia Praha42%58%70%30%
Arsenal26%74%58%42%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Slavia Praha87%13%95%5%
Arsenal82%18%93%7%

1st Half

130%
X41%
229%

1st Score

147%
X8%
245%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

2-2

20%

X-X

15%

X-1

14%

X-2

13%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

0-1

12.5%

1-1

10.6%

0-2

9.6%

0-0

8.1%

1-2

7.4%

1-0

7.2%

2-1

6.1%

0-3

5.2%

2-0

4.4%

2-2

4.2%

1-3

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Slavia Praha vs Arsenal: the stats that stand out

Champions League

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Arsenal: brick wall and hard to break · Slavia Praha: shot-shy

Brick wall
Arsenal6/10

Arsenal kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 22%).

Hard to break
Arsenal1/9

Arsenal conceded first in only 1 of 9 recent matches with goal times (league 48%).

Shot-shy
Slavia Praha4/8

Slavia Praha failed to score in 4 of their last 8 (league 22%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Slavia Praha vs Arsenal: attack vs defence

Champions League

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Champions League teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha: weak attack, weak defence (1.28 xG, 2.07 xGA a game)
  • ArsenalArsenal: weak attack, good defence (1.63 xG, 1.08 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Slavia Praha vs Arsenal: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Champions League

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Champions League gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Arsenal games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Champions League average (66%), Slavia Praha games more often.

Over 2.5 goalsleague 66%
Slavia Praha6 of 8
Arsenal2 of 10
BTTSleague 59%
Slavia Praha4 of 8
Arsenal4 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 189 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Slavia Praha vs Arsenal corners, cards and goal times

Champions League

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameSlavia Praha: last 8 with these statsArsenal: last 9 with these statsPro · free for now

Slavia Praha score early

Slavia Praha

Arsenal

4.1

Corners won · league 4.7

5.4

5.9

Corners conceded · league 4.7

3.0

1.9

Cards · league 1.8

1.0

2.4

Opponents' cards · league 1.8

1.4

57%

Goals before half-time · league 42%

33%

29%

Goals after 75' · league 20%

25%

33%

Conceded before half-time · league 42%

25%

29%

Conceded after 75' · league 20%

0%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

ArsenalArsenal
2/3
Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha
0/3

Both Teams to Score

ArsenalArsenal
2/3
Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha
1/3

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

ArsenalArsenal
2/3
Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha
1/3

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

ArsenalArsenal
2/3
Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha
1/3

First Half Result

ArsenalArsenal
2/3
Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha
1/3

Correct Score

ArsenalArsenal
0/3
Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha
0/3
correct predictionwrong prediction

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