Always on the scoresheet
0/10FC Bayern München scored in all of their last 10 (league 22% fail to score).
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LOSC Lille vs FC Bayern München Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 5)
Clinical
FC Bayern München are scoring more goals than their chances (xG) usually bring
+3goals more than their chances (xG) in their last 10
80% of teams scoring this many more goals than their chances scored fewer in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: FC Bayern München 73% to win
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Lille vs FC Bayern München: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Lille vs FC Bayern München — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Champions League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
FC Bayern München to win
Our model 60%Bookmakers 73%
Our track record
In 1,795 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.9% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 50%Bookmakers 42%
Our track record
In 3,079 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 54%Bookmakers 71%
Our track record
In 5,122 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 133 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 48.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.4% than to our 65–70%.
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
FC Bayern München ahead at half-time
Our model 44%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 6,646 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).
Lille Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Lille 0–1 goals
Our model 79%Bookmakers 74%
Our track record
In 818 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.7% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).
FC Bayern München Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
FC Bayern München 2+ goals
Our model 55%Bookmakers 75%
Our track record
In 1,576 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.0% of the time (bookmakers said 60.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Lille vs FC Bayern München — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Lille vs FC Bayern München. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Lille–
FC Bayern München–Winner
2 60%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
0-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Lille–FC Bayern München–Winner
2 60%
BTTS*
No 50%
Correct Score
0-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
119%
X21%
260%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 50% | 50% | 79% | 22% |
| 18% | 82% | 45% | 55% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 70% | 30% | 86% | 14% |
1st Half
121%
X35%
244%
1st Score
132%
X7%
261%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
38%
X-2
17%
1-1
12%
X-X
12%
X-1
8%
1-2
4%
2-X
4%
1-X
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
0-1
11.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.0%
1-1
9.0%
0-0
7.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Lille vs FC Bayern München: the stats that stand out
Champions League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%FC Bayern München: always on the scoresheet
0/10Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Lille vs FC Bayern München: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Champions League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Champions League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in FC Bayern München games more often than the Champions League average (60%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 69%
FC Bayern München8 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
FC Bayern München8 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 189 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Lille vs FC Bayern München form and luck check
Champions League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Champions League gamesFC Bayern München: results in line with their chances
- FC Bayern MünchenBookmakers: 73% to win today.Clinical · +3 goals−1.2
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Lille vs FC Bayern München corners, cards and goal times
Champions League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.8
- Cards: league 1.8
- Goals before half-time: league 42%
- Goals after 75': league 20%
Corners and cards for every league: League stats →
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
FC Bayern München2/4
Lille2/4
Both Teams to Score
FC Bayern München2/4
Lille3/4
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
FC Bayern München3/4
Lille2/4
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
FC Bayern München1/4
Lille2/4
First Half Result
FC Bayern München0/4
Lille2/4
Correct Score
FC Bayern München0/4
Lille0/4
correct predictionwrong prediction