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Viking vs FC Bayern München 3-3 Score & Prediction Review
Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)
FC Bayern München drew despite more chances
Viking3–3
FC Bayern MünchenOn these chances Viking would usually take 0.4 points and FC Bayern München 2.5; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: FC Bayern München.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Viking vs FC Bayern München stats: how the match was played
Champions League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
FC Bayern München had clearly more shots on target
Viking
FC Bayern München
5
Shots on target
8
1
Big chances
3
7
Corners
15
2
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
1
33%
Possession
67%
Viking vs FC Bayern München — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Champions League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
FC Bayern München to win
WrongOur track record
In 2,468 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 406 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 65.3%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,158 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.
Our track record
In 181 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.5% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
FC Bayern München ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 2,001 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Viking 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,452 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
FC Bayern München 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,589 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Viking vs FC Bayern München 3-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Viking vs FC Bayern München. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Viking3
FC Bayern München3Winner
2 52%
BTTS*
Yes 66%
Correct Score
1-2 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 70%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 58%
Viking3FC Bayern München3Winner
2 52%
BTTS*
Yes 66%
Correct Score
1-2 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 70%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 58%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 13% | 87% | 30% | 70% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 42% | 58% | 67% | 33% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34% | 66% | 62% | 38% |
| 18% | 82% | 41% | 59% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 93% | 7% |
| 67% | 33% | 84% | 16% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
30%
1-1
21%
X-2
12%
X-1
11%
X-X
8%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
3%
Correct Score
1-2
9.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.9%
0-1
5.8%
2-3
5.1%
1-0
4.1%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
3.3%
0-0
3.1%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Viking vs FC Bayern München — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
FC Bayern MünchenVikingBoth Teams to Score
FC Bayern MünchenVikingOver/Under 2.5 Goals
FC Bayern MünchenVikingOver/Under 3.5 Goals
FC Bayern MünchenVikingFirst Half Result
FC Bayern MünchenVikingCorrect Score
FC Bayern MünchenViking