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Atlético de Madrid vs Viking

Atlético de Madrid vs Viking Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 5)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Atlético Madrid vs Viking: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Atlético Madrid vs Viking — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Champions League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético Madrid to win

Our model 53%Bookmakers 88%

Our track record

In 2,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.9% of the time (bookmakers said 55.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 54%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 3,079 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 56%Bookmakers 76%

Our track record

In 5,308 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 66%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 133 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 48.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.4% than to our 65–70%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético Madrid ahead at half-time

Our model 37%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 1,937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.9% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Atlético Madrid Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético Madrid 2+ goals

Our model 52%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 2,785 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Viking Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Viking 0–1 goals

Our model 71%Bookmakers 87%

Our track record

In 3,357 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.0% of the time (bookmakers said 71.9%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Atlético Madrid vs Viking — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Atlético Madrid vs Viking. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Champions League - Europe

Atlético Madrid–

Viking–

Winner

1 53%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Champions League - Europe

Atlético Madrid–

Viking–

Winner

1 53%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

153%

X22%

225%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	21%	79%	44%	56%	56%	44%	78%	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	21%	79%	44%	56%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	56%	44%	78%	22%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	20%	80%	48%	52%	73%	27%	89%	11%
	42%	58%	71%	29%	89%	11%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	20%	80%	48%	52%
	42%	58%	71%	29%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	73%	27%	89%	11%
	89%	11%	96%	4%

1st Half

137%

X37%

226%

1st Score

156%

X6%

238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

30%

2-2

19%

X-1

14%

X-X

11%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

9.8%

1-0

9.8%

2-0

9.2%

2-1

8.7%

1-2

6.0%

0-0

5.9%

3-0

5.8%

0-1

5.6%

3-1

5.3%

2-2

4.8%

0-2

3.4%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Atlético Madrid vs Viking: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Champions League

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Champions League gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Atlético Madrid games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Champions League average (69%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 69%

Atlético Madrid4 of 10

BTTSleague 60%

Atlético Madrid6 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 189 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Atlético Madrid vs Viking form and luck check

Champions League

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Champions League games

Atlético Madrid: results in line with their chances

Atlético MadridBookmakers: 88% to win today.
+0.8

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

How we measure →

Atlético Madrid vs Viking corners, cards and goal times

Champions League

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro

Corners won: league 4.8
Cards: league 1.8
Goals before half-time: league 42%
Goals after 75': league 20%

Corners and cards for every league: League stats →

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Atlético Madrid

3/4

Viking

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Atlético Madrid

2/4

Viking

5/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Atlético Madrid

1/4

Viking

5/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Atlético Madrid

4/4

Viking

0/5

First Half Result

Atlético Madrid

0/4

Viking

2/5

Correct Score

Atlético Madrid

1/4

Viking

0/5

correct predictionwrong prediction