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Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 4)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Champions League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Borussia Dortmund to win

Our model 55%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 1,797 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 52%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 6,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 53%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,152 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 69%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 3,956 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 39%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 1,214 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Borussia Dortmund Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Borussia Dortmund 2+ goals

Our model 51%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,797 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Real Betis Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Real Betis 0–1 goals

Our model 75%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,571 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Champions League - Europe
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund–
Real BetisReal Betis–

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

Yes 52%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

155%
X23%
222%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT24%76%47%53%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT59%41%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Borussia Dortmund19%81%49%51%
Real Betis44%56%75%25%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Borussia Dortmund75%25%90%10%
Real Betis92%8%97%3%

1st Half

138%
X39%
223%

1st Score

155%
X7%
238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

31%

X-1

17%

2-2

16%

X-X

12%

X-2

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

11.5%

1-1

10.3%

2-0

9.9%

2-1

9.6%

0-0

6.7%

0-1

6.0%

1-2

5.6%

3-0

5.5%

3-1

5.3%

2-2

4.8%

3-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Champions League

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Champions League gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Borussia Dortmund games less often than the Champions League average (59%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 66%
Borussia Dortmund6 of 10
BTTSleague 59%
Borussia Dortmund5 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 189 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis form and luck check

Champions League

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Champions League games

Borussia Dortmund: results in line with their chances

  • Borussia Dortmund
    Borussia DortmundBookmakers: 54% to win today.
    −2.4

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

How we measure →

Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis corners, cards and goal times

Champions League

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Goal times close to the Champions League average

Borussia Dortmund

Real Betis

5.5

Corners won · league 4.7

–

3.9

Corners conceded · league 4.7

–

1.7

Cards · league 1.8

–

1.8

Opponents' cards · league 1.8

–

33%

Goals before half-time · league 42%

–

20%

Goals after 75' · league 20%

–

44%

Conceded before half-time · league 42%

–

28%

Conceded after 75' · league 20%

–

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
3/3
Real BetisReal Betis
0/3

Both Teams to Score

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
2/3
Real BetisReal Betis
2/3

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
2/3
Real BetisReal Betis
1/3

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
1/3
Real BetisReal Betis
1/3

First Half Result

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
1/3
Real BetisReal Betis
1/3

Correct Score

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
0/3
Real BetisReal Betis
0/3
correct predictionwrong prediction

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