Fast starters
6/9Galatasaray scored first in 6 of 9 recent matches with goal times (league 48%).
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Galatasaray vs Aston Villa Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 5)
Fast starters
Galatasaray scored first in 6 of 9 recent matches with goal times (league 48%).
6/9Scored first · Galatasaray
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Galatasaray vs Aston Villa: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Galatasaray vs Aston Villa — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Champions League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Galatasaray to win
Our model 54%Bookmakers 37%
Our track record
In 118 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 25.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.5% than to our 50–55%.
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 64%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 2,486 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.0% of the time (bookmakers said 61.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 66%Bookmakers 67%
Our track record
In 1,167 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 943 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.7%).
First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Galatasaray ahead at half-time
Our model 44%Bookmakers 31%
Our track record
In 2,284 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Galatasaray Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Galatasaray 2+ goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 50%
Our track record
In 3,487 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.1% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Aston Villa Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Aston Villa 0–1 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 49%
Our track record
In 138 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 65–70%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Galatasaray vs Aston Villa — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Galatasaray vs Aston Villa. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Galatasaray–
Aston Villa–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Galatasaray–Aston Villa–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Full Time
154%
X22%
225%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 85% | 34% | 66% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 46% | 54% | 70% | 30% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 83% | 42% | 58% |
 | 38% | 62% | 67% | 33% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 33% | 84% | 16% |
| 87% | 13% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
144%
X35%
221%
1st Score
162%
X4%
234%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
37%
X-1
15%
2-2
13%
X-X
12%
X-2
7%
1-X
4%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
Correct Score
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.8%
3-0
4.8%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
4.3%
0-0
3.7%
0-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Galatasaray vs Aston Villa: the stats that stand out
Champions League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Galatasaray: fast starters
6/9Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Galatasaray vs Aston Villa: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Champions League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Champions League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Galatasaray games less often than the Champions League average (60%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 69%
Galatasaray6 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
Galatasaray5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 189 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Galatasaray vs Aston Villa corners, cards and goal times
Champions League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.8
- Cards: league 1.8
- Goals before half-time: league 42%
- Goals after 75': league 20%
Corners and cards for every league: League stats →
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Galatasaray4/4
Aston Villa1/4
Both Teams to Score
Galatasaray3/4
Aston Villa2/4
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Galatasaray3/4
Aston Villa4/4
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Galatasaray1/4
Aston Villa0/4
First Half Result
Galatasaray3/4
Aston Villa1/4
Correct Score
Galatasaray0/4
Aston Villa0/4
correct predictionwrong prediction