Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal 3-2 Score & Prediction Review

Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 1)

The match between Borussia Dortmund and Villarreal ended 3-2. Our AI model correctly predicted a Borussia Dortmund win with 55% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal — Champions League Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026/2027 · Round 1 · League Stage

Full-Time Result

43.2% implied

Borussia Dortmund100%1/1+131.5%Strongly above implied probability
Villarreal100%1/1+131.5%Strongly above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.4% implied

Borussia Dortmund100%1/1+83.8%Strongly above implied probability
Villarreal100%1/1+83.8%Strongly above implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53.8% implied

Borussia Dortmund100%1/1+85.9%Strongly above implied probability
Villarreal100%1/1+85.9%Strongly above implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

59.3% implied

Borussia Dortmund0%0/1-100%Below implied probability
Villarreal0%0/1-100%Below implied probability

First Half Result

37.6% implied

Borussia Dortmund0%0/1-100%Below implied probability
Villarreal0%0/1-100%Below implied probability
Borussia Dortmund0%0/1
Villarreal0%0/1

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Borussia Dortmund and Villarreal across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Full-Time Result predictions for Borussia Dortmund hit at 100% accuracy — that's 131.5% above the bookmaker baseline of 43.2%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Borussia Dortmund sit 100% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal 3-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund3
VillarrealVillarreal2

Winner

1 55%

BTTS**

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

155%
X22%
223%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT57%43%79%21%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Borussia Dortmund18%82%47%53%
Villarreal42%58%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Borussia Dortmund73%27%88%12%
Villarreal91%9%97%3%

1st Half

139%
X39%
222%

1st Score

157%
X6%
237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

33%

X-1

17%

2-2

15%

X-X

13%

X-2

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.4%

1-0

10.3%

2-1

9.6%

2-0

9.2%

1-2

5.8%

0-1

5.8%

3-0

5.7%

3-1

5.6%

0-0

5.5%

2-2

5.0%

3-2

3.3%

0-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal — Prediction Form & Streaks

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
1 in a row
VillarrealVillarreal
1 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
1 in a row
VillarrealVillarreal
1 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
1 in a row
VillarrealVillarreal
1 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
0 in a row
VillarrealVillarreal
0 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
0 in a row
VillarrealVillarreal
0 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
0 in a row
VillarrealVillarreal
0 in a row
correct predictionincorrect

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