1. Bodø / Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund

Bodø / Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)

Fair result
Bodø / GlimtBodø / Glimt

1–0

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
1.2Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Bodø / Glimt would usually take 1.5 points and Borussia Dortmund 1.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Borussia Dortmund.

Bodø / Glimt +1.5 pts vs chancesBorussia Dortmund −1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Bodø / Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund stats: how the match was played

Champions League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Bodø / Glimt

Borussia Dortmund

3

Shots on target

4

3

Big chances

1

4

Corners

9

0

Yellow cards

2

49%

Possession

52%

The match between Bodø / Glimt and Borussia Dortmund ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Bodø / Glimt win with 59% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bodø / Glimt – Lille prediction & betting tips (Nov 3, 2026).

Bodø / Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Champions League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bodø / Glimt to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Borussia Dortmund to win.

Our model 59%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 65%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 2,449 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 75%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 936 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.0%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bodø / Glimt ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 30%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Bodø / Glimt Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Bodø / Glimt 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 66%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 2,671 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Borussia Dortmund Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Borussia Dortmund 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Borussia Dortmund 2+ goals.

Our model 66%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 132 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 65–70%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Bodø / Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Bodø / Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Bodø / GlimtBodø / Glimt1
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund0

Winner

1 59%

BTTS*

Yes 65%

Correct Score

2-1 08%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 75%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 66%

Full Time

159%
X17%
224%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT10%90%25%75%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT34%66%59%41%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Bodø / Glimt15%85%34%66%
Borussia Dortmund42%58%66%34%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Bodø / Glimt57%43%76%24%
Borussia Dortmund84%16%93%7%

1st Half

152%
X31%
216%

1st Score

165%
X2%
233%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

46%

X-1

16%

2-2

9%

X-X

8%

X-2

6%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

2-1

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

2-1

7.8%

3-1

6.5%

1-1

6.3%

2-2

6.2%

2-0

6.0%

3-0

5.5%

1-0

5.3%

1-2

4.8%

3-2

4.5%

2-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Bodø / Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund — Recent Form

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
3/3
Bodø / GlimtBodø / Glimt
5/5

Both Teams to Score

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
2/3
Bodø / GlimtBodø / Glimt
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
2/3
Bodø / GlimtBodø / Glimt
4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
1/3
Bodø / GlimtBodø / Glimt
1/5

First Half Result

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
1/3
Bodø / GlimtBodø / Glimt
1/5

Correct Score

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
0/3
Bodø / GlimtBodø / Glimt
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Bodø / Glimt – Lille prediction & betting tips (Nov 3, 2026).

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