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Lens vs Sporting CP

Lens vs Sporting CP 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)

Fair result

Lens

0–2

Sporting CP

1.9Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Lens would usually take 1.8 points and Sporting CP 1.0; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Lens.

Lens −1.8 pts vs chancesSporting CP +2.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Lens vs Sporting CP stats: how the match was played

Champions League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Lens

Sporting CP

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

56%

Possession

44%

The match between Lens and Sporting CP ended 0-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Sporting CP win with 47% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Shakhtar Donetsk – Sporting CP prediction & betting tips (Nov 3, 2026).

Lens vs Sporting CP — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Champions League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sporting CP to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Lens to win.

Our model 48%Bookmakers 35%

Our track record

In 376 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.8% than to our 45–50%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,692 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,303 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,954 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.5% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 41%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 6,650 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Lens Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lens 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 68%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,677 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Sporting CP Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sporting CP 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 1,006 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Lens vs Sporting CP 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Lens vs Sporting CP. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Champions League - Europe

Lens0

Sporting CP2

Winner

X2 71%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

· FT

Champions League - Europe

Lens0

Sporting CP2

Winner

X2 71%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

129%

X24%

247%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	22%	78%	44%	56%	56%	44%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	22%	78%	44%	56%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	56%	44%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	36%	64%	68%	32%	87%	13%	96%	4%
	22%	78%	52%	48%	76%	24%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	36%	64%	68%	32%
	22%	78%	52%	48%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	87%	13%	96%	4%
	76%	24%	91%	9%

1st Half

127%

X41%

233%

1st Score

146%

X6%

248%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

30%

1-1

17%

X-X

14%

X-2

14%

X-1

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

10.9%

0-1

9.1%

1-2

8.9%

0-2

7.5%

1-0

6.8%

2-1

6.7%

0-0

5.8%

2-2

5.6%

1-3

5.0%

0-3

4.4%

2-0

4.2%

2-3

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Lens vs Sporting CP — Recent Form

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Lens

1/2

Sporting CP

2/2

Both Teams to Score

Lens

1/2

Sporting CP

1/2

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Lens

1/2

Sporting CP

1/2

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Lens

1/2

Sporting CP

1/2

First Half Result

Lens

0/2

Sporting CP

1/2

Correct Score

Lens

0/2

Sporting CP

0/2

correct predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Shakhtar Donetsk – Sporting CP prediction & betting tips (Nov 3, 2026).