RB Leipzig vs PSV Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Champions League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)
RB Leipzig vs PSV — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Champions League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
RB Leipzig to win
Our track record
In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.9% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.1% of the time (bookmakers said 64.2%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 885 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.6% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 187 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
RB Leipzig 2+ goals
Our track record
In 2,521 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
PSV 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,404 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.0% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
RB Leipzig vs PSV — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for RB Leipzig vs PSV. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
RB Leipzig–
PSV–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS**
Yes 68%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 69%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 58%
RB Leipzig–PSV–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS**
Yes 68%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 69%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 58%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 13% | 87% | 31% | 69% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 42% | 58% | 68% | 32% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22% | 78% | 48% | 52% |
 | 30% | 70% | 57% | 43% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71% | 29% | 87% | 13% |
| 79% | 21% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
2-2
23%
X-1
14%
X-X
11%
X-2
9%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
2-0
4.9%
0-1
4.7%
3-2
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-3
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
RB Leipzig vs PSV — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
RB LeipzigPSVBoth Teams to Score
RB LeipzigPSVOver/Under 2.5 Goals
RB LeipzigPSVOver/Under 3.5 Goals
RB LeipzigPSVFirst Half Result
RB LeipzigPSVCorrect Score
RB LeipzigPSV